Kidman232's Offical WNBA Picks (my posts only please

[kidman232]

one favor to ask guys, Id really like to keep a thread clean thats easy for me to read. I appreciate all the good luck comments and am always open to discuss plays/tea,s, but lets do that in the other thread please n thank u.

wnba record: 0-0

[kidman232]

La Sparks +1.5

La Sparks Under 142

first game kicks off the season friday night. la sparks should be an early contender this year when many players are away prepairing for the olympics in london. la features a strong front court with candice parker, milton jones, and #1 overall pick Ogwumike. along with the adition of alana beard who is a former multi all star performer, la should start off hot.

seattle is a strong team year in and year out, but they are showing some cracks this yr. former league mvp lauren jackson will miss the start of the season prepairing australia's womens team for the olympics. also gone in swin cash who was traded for the #2 overall pick in the draft. Seattle has added ann wauters, who has been out of the league for 2 years, but was a force on the inside then.

overall i expect this to be a good game, but see la having too much fire power and being able to control the pace and do what they want, eventhough seattle is historically very strong at home

[kidman232]

2-0, + 2 units

[kidman232]

conn/ny over 151

afternoon game here. Two teams that know how to score and have quite a few scorers on the court. conn tends to struggle on the road and allow alot of points, while ny is a stronger home team. overall i like conn roster a little bit more, but until they prove they can win away from home, hard to back them. conn also knows they will be losing 2 of their top 3 players to the olympics, so this season could be rough for awhile, so they need to come out strong

[kidman232]

chi -5

chi/wash over 143

chi loaded up this off-season on veteran talent that knows how to win. They had tbe best big girl in the league in fowles, a solid young guard in vandersloot to go along with host of other players. the team is stacked and when they learn to together it could get scary. wash has a couple of strong players including langerhorne, but they should get worn down by chi's rotation. the 2nd string disparity between these two will be strong and i expect chi to go on a few 9-2 type of runs to put this game out of reach

[kidman232]

san/tulsa over 149.5

two teams that like to run up and down the floor while both not taking any real pride in defense. cambridge is away in australia prepairing for the olympics which will open things up in the middle for the stars, while allowing tulsa to push the ball more. Both these teams should be able to score this yr, but lack of defense will be their downfall.


pass on atl/indy

[kidman232]

4-1, +2.9 units

[kidman232]

phx/minn over 172 1/2

this should be a very very fast paced game to watch. Minnesota is loaded at every position and phnx loves to fly up and down the court. The loss of penny taylor is huge for phnx, she was a great scorer and was always around the rim for timely rebounds on the defensive end. If minnesota comes out looking to put on a show they should drop 90-100 points today and although phnx lost taylor who was a great scorer, they have plenty of other players who can still light it up and have no desire to play defense. as long as minnesota doesnt play shutdown def, which on occasion they do , i look for something in the mid high 180's+

[kidman232]

minn 105 phnx 83


5-1, +3.9 units

[kidman232]

im going to pass on the late game, slight lean to the over based on conn home style, but the numbers dont back my gut lean, so no play. back tuesday

[kidman232]

minn -6

minn/ny over 154 1/2

phnx/tulsa over 175


these games are all on tuesday, might add something if i see taurasi is playing or not. also might look into the late game some more tomorrow night

[kidman232]

adding

sea/la under 145

will post thoughts in other thread

[kidman232]

adding

phnx -6

dt should be playing tonight and ill expect a big game out of her in a fast paced game.

[kidman232]

3-2 night +.8 units

ytd: 8-3, +4.7 units

[kidman232]

la +9

la/minn over 155


this should be a very good game if everyone shows up. I expect la to be a contender this yr and a road game vs minn is a great test to see where they are at already this yr. la should have the size and depth to hang with minnesota, who is capable of blowing anyone out any night. I think the pace of this game will be fairly uptempo trading buckets. I expect minn to come away with the win, but dont see them running away by double digits.

minn 84 la 78

[kidman232]

2-0 night

game went fairly close to how i thought, minnesota closed out late and got the win.

ytd: 10-3, +6.7 units

[kidman232]

ill preface that this has been my least favorite card of the year so far, just the matchups and lines didnt hit me well and I feel like im reaching a bit, but going with my gut.

conn -7

sa/conn over 156

ny/atl over 159


conn is just such a great home team and have a huge advantage with a loud croud. I think the pace will be uptempo as sa does not play great defense, especially on the road. it should be a back n forth game early, but i really expect conn to be able to pull away in the 3rd and finish off for a double digit win. conn 89 sa 76


ny enters this game 0-3 on the year and needs to avoid going 0-4. Their 3 point shooting has been non existent. I look for them to pound the paint early and try to open up some 3 point shoots for pondexter and company. Atlanta plays very fast at home and will put out an athletic lineup that can run on nys defense. this game will come down to the wire and i forsee alot of free throws. atl 87 ny 84 in a fun game to follow


maybe something on the late game depending on the early games, again use a little caution, this card scares me for some reason

[kidman232]

2-1 night, +.9 units

ytd: 12-4, +7.6 units

[kidman232]

la -1.5

la/phnx under 179


i have a feeling dt does not play tonight. she only played 10 mins vs tulsa and they said she could barely move on the floor and did not look right at all. they are in for the year and not just this game, so i expect them to sit her or limit her mins greatly. it wouldnt be out of this world for her to give it a go, as shes a competitor, but id be surprised. overall la should have the size inside to handle dupree and the depth/skill to beat this team, even if dt plays. these two teams tend to play close games in the past, but candice parker from la has owned phnx avg 25 vs them. I have betting unders involving phnx, but the line movement makes me think the books are now expecting her to sit and wont get that high vs an la team who has shown some defense this yr. la 86 phnx 75

[kidman232]

1-1 night, -.10 units

ytd: 13-5, +7.5 units

back in a bit with todays plays

[kidman232]

sea/minn over 144 1/2

this total seems fairly low to me. seattle is greatly been missing lauren jacksons presence on the inside and i do not expect that to change today. Minn has the depth and playing style to wear down seattle and pull away with a victory, i think the game spread will be close, but expect the total to get over with time to spare. minn 84 sea 71

[kidman232]

adding

indy/atl over 165

back n forth on this game, i feel the over was the right play, but wasnt sure i wanted to touch this game. in their first meeting this season they put up 170+ while still having 35 combined turnovers. atl has owned indy at home winning 7 straight vs them. I think we see a great game to start off the afternoon. atl 89 indy 87

[kidman232]

1-1 day, shouldnt have added on a game i was passing on originally

ytd: 14-6, +7.4 units

[kidman232]

tulsa/la over 154.5

la has looked very strong this yr and tulsa has looked improved of late on the offensive side of the ball. I think la will be able to get their pts especially at home and because of this, their defense wont be as strong as it could be, just bc the game will have a free flow style. I think tulsa has the ability to stick around early, but the quality of bench/rotation is what will bring this game home for the sparks. i expect the sparks to flurt with covering the large spread (-15) and it going either way late in the 4th when some starters rest. la 89 tulsa 76

[kidman232]

hey guys, i really want to keep this thread clean and only have my posts in here for easy to ready access. i have another random thread that u guys can hit me up with questions or yell at me when i lose. all the naked ladies are more than welcome there.

[kidman232]

0-1 night, -1.10 units

43 fucking turnovers and it goes under by a couple pts is all i can say.

[kidman232]

Minn -11

Minn/wash over 147

chi +2.5

chi/sa over 150.5

[kidman232]

ytd: 14-7, +6.3 units

4 games pending, struggling the past few days, need to get it going. dont love either of these matchups, but i still do see some value. could use a really nice easy winner

[kidman232]

ytd: 16-9, +6.1 units


phnx/atl over 90 1h


going to switch things up a bit as i seem to be stuck in a .500 funk. atlanta is coming off a horrible game at home where they turned it over a ton and the offense never got going. phnx has been struggling this yr, but taurasi has again gotten a few more days off to rest her hip and soon should be getting close to 100%. I think both of these teams are going to come out fast and attack each others lack lusters defense. im looking for alot of 3 pointers and some trips to the free throw line being aggresive inside the lanes. looking for one of the quarters to go over 50+. ill be around for a possible 2h play

[kidman232]

taurasi is out for phnx tonight, going to hedge my 1h bet a bit with

atl -4 1h

[kidman232]

phnx/atl u90 2h (2 units)


taurasi is out and phnx seems a bit lost right now. they have some foul trouble and they have to travel and play at san antonio tonight, so they have a long night ahead of them. atl is up 16 at half, and if they can hold onto that lead into the 3rd qtr, i think both teams will rest and let the backups see some more court action. always hard to bet unders with these teams, but the line seems high in a blowout and phnx 2 best players hurt

[kidman232]

2-1 night picking up 1.9 units. love hitting the first 2 unit bet of the yr :)

ytd: 18-10, +8 units

[kidman232]

Record breakdown

Overall: (18-10), + 8 units

sides: 6-3
totals:10-6 (1 push)
1h:1-1
2H: 1-0

[kidman232]

Minn/conn over 163 1/2

wash/chi over 142 1/2

tulsa +9 1/2

tulsa/sea over 145

[varkeyboy]

I feel a SWEEP coming. Very nice work.