Friday Service Plays PREMIUM & FREE PICKS 6/01/12

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Friday’s Betting Tips

"Rockies, Dodgers sluggers hit DL"

Weather to Watch

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians – 18 mph winds are expected to blow out to right-centerfield.

Who’s HOT

NBA: The Celtics are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 home games.

MLB: The over is 8-2-1 in the Marlins’ last 11 overall.

MLB: The Washington Nationals are 17-8 in their last 25 home games.

WNBA: The Minnesota Lynx are 39-19 ATS in their last 58 games overall.

Who’s NOT

WNBA: The Heat are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog.

MLB: The Twins are 1-10 in their last 11 meetings with the Indians.

MLB: The Pirates are 8-46 in the last 54 meetings in Milwaukee.

WNBA: The Washington Mystics are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

Key Stat

13 – Udonis Haslem scored all 13 of his points in the second half to help the Miami Heat overcome a nine-point deficit in the third quarter of Game 2’s 115-111 overtime victory. The Heat failed to cover as 7.5-point favorites, but are still 9-4 against the spread in the postseason.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Matt Kemp, Los Angeles Dodgers - In just his second game back from the disabled list, Kemp aggravated his left hamstring injury while scoring from first base on a first-inning double by Andre Ethier. Kemp was removed from Wednesday’s game and replaced in center field by Tony Gwynn Jr. after just one inning. Kemp is batting .355 with 12 homers. The Dodgers went 9-5 while Kemp was on the DL the last time.

Game of the Day

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics (-2, 180)

Notable Quotable

"We're like 18-14 since that streak. It's time to forget about the streak. We've played really good baseball from that point on, and we're going to continue to get better. We've got guys coming back that are going to help us." – Kansas City Royals manager Ned Yost about how his team has turned its season away since a 12-game losing streak in April.

Notes and Tips

England will be without midfielder Frank Lampard in Euro 2012 after he suffered a thigh injury in training. The English side also announced midfielder Gareth Barry is out for the tournament with a stomach strain Wednesday and the team will also be without striker Wayne Rooney for the first two games of the competition as he serves a suspension. England, set a +1000 to win the tournament, faces France in its first game on June 11.

Rockies shortstop Troy Tulowitzki was placed on the 15-day disabled list Thursday after straining his left groin during Wednesday's 13-5 victory over the Astros. Tulowitzki's groin has been bothering him since the season's opening series against Houston in April. He is hitting .287 with eight home runs and 27 RBIs.

Barack Obama remains a solid favorite to earn a second term in the White House following the 2012 Presidential Election. Sportsbook.ag lists Obama as a -165 favorite with Republican Mitt Romney at +145.

Phil Mickelson withdrew from the Memorial Tournament in Dublin, Ohio, on Thursday after one round, citing mental fatigue. After shooting a 79 he said he wanted to take some time to prepare properly for the U.S. Open, which is in two weeks. Mickelson had played three consecutive tournaments earlier in May, and, after that, he took his wife, Amy, to Europe to celebrate her 40th birthday. The 79 is his worst score in his 12 appearances at Muirfield Village.

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Friday's Streaking & Slumping Starting Pitchers

"STREAKING"

Josh Johnson, Miami Marlins (2-3, 4.82 ERA)

Johnson was a nightmare for his supporters early this season, but seems to be rounding into form now. He has won two straight starts and hasn’t allowed more than two runs in his three trips to the hill, while striking out 16 batters during that stretch. Johnson supporters are down just 0.59 units heading into Friday’s start.

Bruce Chen, Kansas City Royals (3-4, 4.17 ERA)

Chen lost each of his first four starts before turning it around to win three straight. He has only been hit hard twice this season and is working on a 2.75 ERA in his last three while striking out 16 and walking four. The Royals are finally giving him some run support, averaging 4.7 runs during his winning streak which is up from an average of 2.9 runs on the year.

"SLUMPING"

Ian Kennedy, Arizona Diamondbacks (3-4, 4.47 ERA)

Kennedy allowed six earned runs in his shortest outing of the season last weekend, going just 4 1/3 innings before getting the hook. The Diamondbacks have lost each of his last five starts, though he was hardly to blame for the first two. Kennedy’s last three starts have been a different story, with the California native giving up 14 earned runs and five dingers over that span.

Anthony Swarzak, Minnesota Twins (0-3, 4.73 ERA)

Swarzak was demoted to the bullpen after three tough starts to begin the season, but the Twins are putting him back in the rotation as they search for some major starting pitcher help. He lost each of his first three starts while posting a 6.75 ERA and giving up five home runs. In his last relief appearance, he yielded two runs over 2 1/3 during a blowout loss to Milwaukee.

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Heat at Celtics Game 3: What Bettors Need to Know

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics (-2, 180)

THE STORY: The scene shifts to Boston and the Celtics find themselves in a must-win situation in Friday’s Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Miami Heat. Boston point guard Rajon Rondo had a game for the ages in Game 2 but the Heat rallied from a 15-point deficit and prevailed in overtime to take a 2-0 lead in the best-of-7 series. The Celtics haven’t recovered from such a playoff hole to win a series since 1969.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT THE HEAT: Forward LeBron James had 34 points and 10 rebounds but solid production from guard Mario Chalmers (22 points) and forward Udonis Haslem (13 points, 11 rebounds) were key components in Game 2. Guard Dwyane Wade recovered from a miserable start to score 23 points and is the first player with 20 points in 12 consecutive playoff games since legend Jerry West had 18 straight such performances for the Los Angeles Lakers in the late 1960s. Forward Chris Bosh (abdominal strain) hasn’t made enough progress to have a chance at playing in the two games in Boston.

ABOUT THE CELTICS: Rondo played all 53 minutes of Wednesday’s overtime contest and scored a career-high 44 points – including all 12 Boston points in overtime – to go with 10 assists and eight rebounds. He hit 16 of 24 shots as he became the first player in Celtics’ history to record 40 points and 10 assists in a playoff game. The concern for Game 3 will be how much Boston has in the tank after coming up short despite Rondo’s memorable performance. “I thought we played with great heart, but I didn’t think we played smart all the time,” Celtics coach Doc Rivers said. “And there are things we can absolutely fix, and we’ll do that.”

TRENDS:
- The Heat are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog.
- The Celtics are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 home games.
- The under is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings in Boston.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Overcoming a 15-point deficit represented Miami’s largest playoff comeback victory in franchise history. The Heat had twice overcome 14-point deficits.

2. James shot 24 free throws in Game 2 and Miami attempted 47 overall (making 31). Boston was 26 of 29.

3. Celtics forward Paul Pierce has fouled out of two of the last three games, including Game 7 of the series against Philadelphia.

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Basketball Crusher

Boston Celtics ML-130 over Miami Heat

(System Record: 99-7, won last game)
Overall Record: 100-94-5

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Baseball Crusher

Tampa Bay Rays-160 over Baltimore O's

(System Record: 29-1, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 29-26

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Hockey Crusher

NO play
(System Record: 110-6, won last game)
Overall Record: 110-95-13

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Soccer Crusher

Italy + Russia UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Friendlies

(System Record: 235-11, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 235-210-21

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Sportsbook Investing

Boston Celtics -130 over Miami Heat

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THE BANDIT

Miami Heat +2 over Boston Celtics

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BASEBALL'S BEST AND WORST PITCHERS IN JUNE
By Marc Lawrence

If it’s June, school is out. And so too will be the NBA, sometime soon - we think.

It’s also the time of the season when MLB pitchers look to ace exams in hopes of keeping their teams in the pennant chase.

To get a better feel on what to expect, let’s examine their results from exams in the past.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of June. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in June team starts, winning 33 percent or less of their efforts.

To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each June over the last three years.

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

Mark Buehrle • 11-5

Never a household name, Buehrle has long been one of the most consistent pitchers in baseball. In his first season in the National League, the veteran left-hander has his lowest ERA (3.26) and WHIP (1.12) since the 2005 season with the White Sox and will be one of the main cogs if Miami is to be a playoff team.

Tommy Hanson • 12-2

Typically, Hanson warms up like the Georgia weather in June. Like all the Atlanta pitchers in late May, Hanson has not been nearly as effective with his location, which is why his hits per innings pitched and walks are up. If the 25-year old is going to turn it around, it would seem to be this month. Amazingly, Hanson has an ERA well over six at Turner Field.

Cliff Lee • 13-4

Lee went on the DL with a strained left oblique in the latter stages of April and has shown signs of returning to prior form. His strikeouts-to walk ratios are running at 5 to 1, giving the impression if he isn’t quite at peak performance, he will be soon. With Roy Halladay gone for six to eight weeks, Lee will have to be the man along with Cole Hamels if Philadelphia is going to be a true contender in the NL East and just not a team in total decline.

Jon Lester • 10-5

The Boston lefty is on these pages month after month, but has not been the same this season. Normally, Lester averages 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, but this year he’s down alarmingly to 6.0. Scouts have noticed a great dependency on the fastball, using fewer cutters and curves. In the ultra-competitive AL East, the Red Sox need a steady Lester if they are to be more than a .500 club.

David Price • 11-5

Tampa Bay’s ace is fulfilling the club’s desires, seldom having an off start and able to work through games when he doesn’t have his best stuff. Make certain to see if the price is right on Price at home, since he is sporting a Kate Upton-sized bikini ERA of 1.19 at Tropicana Field.

CC Sabathia • 12-4

It’s a short list of pitchers who have been as consistently good as the Yankees Sabathia, who is 84 games over .500 for his career. What makes CC (Carsten Charles in case you were wondering) so effective is his knowledge of pitching, able to work side to side and up and down to keep hitters off-balance. The big man continues to overwhelm left-handed hitters, who are batting just over the Mendoza Line against him.

Justin Verlander • 12-4

Baseball’s most overpowering pitcher does not have as many wins this season compared to last, but that’s only because of a weaker bullpen and fickle offense. Through the first two months of the season, Verlander is near or ahead of last year’s Cy Young and MVP numbers in ERA, batting average allowed and WHIP. He’s a possible no-hitter each time out, but not the sure bet of year ago with a weaker overall team performance.

Jered Weaver • 10-5

The one player who has been doing his job for Los Angeles is Weaver, who started the season with a 6-1 record, 2.61 ERA and had teams hitting just .195 against him. Weaver is on the DL until at least June 12 after injuring his back in his last outing against the Yankees. He will be sorely missed. (No pun intended)

BAD MONTH PITCHERS

Gio Gonzalez • 4-10

At the present rate, Gonzalez will soon be in the upper group of this article. After putting together a 31-21 record in his last two years in Oakland with an earned run average in the low three’s, the Hialeah, Florida born lefty has found a home in a Nationals uniform. Gonzalez is averaging well over a strikeout per inning with opposing batters hitting a feeble .156 against him. Though he’s only walked 25 batters in 61+ innings, as ESPN’s Orel Hershiser pointed out, Gonzalez is effectively wild, in three zones (high, medium and low) that hitters never feel comfortable at the plate.

Mark Guthrie • 5-10

Colorado’s minor league system has to be barren of pitching prospects having Guthrie and Jamie Moyer in the starting rotation. (The latter is a fluid situation) Why the Rockies signed Guthrie is a mystery since it was proven for years, hurlers that pitch to contact will be lit up at Coors Field. The park might also be getting to Guthrie’s nerves since he’s a career almost 2-to-1 K’s to walks pitcher and he is nearly even in this category in 2012, trying to be too fine.

Cole Hamels • 5-11

Based on this year’s results, Hamels might not be a good Play Against pitcher in June like in the past. In the final year of his contract on a team that might be descending, the Phillies port-sider has put it all together with his baffling array of pitches. Besides a plus fastball, Hamels off-speed stuff has been unhittable, giving reason why he has a 1.80 ERA in night games. Let’s see if he can overcome what has been his toughest month.

Chris Volstad • 4-13

The Chicago Cubs sent Volstad down after beginning 0-6 with a 7.42 ERA. Unless he finds himself, there is little reason for the Cubs to bring him back to the Windy City since he is winless in his past 19 starts.

Nick Blackburn • 5-11

The Minnesota right-hander went on the shelf May 17 after a left quad strain. It probably was a blessing since his ERA of 8.38 in eight starts had manager Ron Gardenhire reaching for the TUMS before games, not just during. Blackburn’s frighteningly low strikeouts to innings pitched numbers could be hidden when the Twins could hit, but now, not so much. His next rehab assignment is scheduled for June 3, where a further determination of his status will be forecast.

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French Open Odds

Day 6 match Analysis and Picks
By CHARLES BRICKER

Bricker was 1-2 with his Day 5 picks and is now 8-6 with his tournament selections, down 1.38 units.

No. 16 Fernando Verdasco (-250) vs. No. 25 Andreas Seppi (+175)

This is no gimme. Seppi is having his best season and is at a career-best ranking. He needed five sets to reach the third round, coming back to win over Mikhail Kukushkin. But Verdasco needed five sets in his opening round with little-regarded Steve Darcis. His win over Rafa Nadal on the suspect blue clay at Madrid is a distant memory and his 6-0 head-to-head record against Seppi doesn't mean that much because they haven't played since 2009.

Pick: Verdasco

No. 12 Gilles Simon (-118) vs. No. 21 Stan Wawrinka (-118)

Simon had to work very hard to win a five-setter with Brian Baker in the second round, but that's his deal - he can run all day. He takes his counter-punching defensive skills, which are considerable, against Wawrinka's powerful game. Two excellent backhands in this match, which also could go five. Simon's game is predictable from match to match, Wawrinka's is not.

Pick: Simon

No. 14 Ana Ivanovic (-200) vs. No. 24 Sara Errani (+140)

The mighty little Italian doesn't cut a formidable figure on court, but she's awfully good on clay - 18-3 overall this year. I think she's playing well enough to take down the one-time French Open winner Ivanovic, who was playing better earlier in the season than she is now. Ivanovic hits with more authority, but Errani covers more court.

Pick: Errani

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Turner System

Pick: Miami Heat +1.5 (-110)

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Today's MLB Picks

Texas at LA Angels
The Angels look to build on their 7-0 record in Jerome Williams last 7 home starts. LA is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Angels favored by 1.
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+110).

Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JUNE 1

Game 951-952: Miami at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Buehrle) 16.763; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.983
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-110); Under

Game 953-954: Atlanta at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 14.686; Washington (Strasburg) 15.443
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-165); Over

Game 955-956: St. Louis at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.734; NY Mets (Santana) 14.007
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Under

Game 957-958: Cincinnati at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 15.250; Houston (Happ) 15.561
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+105); Over

Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Correia) 15.305; Milwaukee (Wolf) 16.101
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-140); Over

Game 961-962: LA Dodgers at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Capuano) 15.664; Colorado (Outman) 14.632
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-110); Under

Game 963-964: Arizona at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 14.113; San Diego (Richard) 14.669
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Under

Game 965-966: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Maholm) 14.814; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 13.652
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+145); Over

Game 967-968: Boston at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 15.600; Toronto (Alvarez) 16.775
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-125); Under

Game 969-970: NY Yankees at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.857; Detroit (Crosby) 15.530
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-160); Over

Game 971-972: Minnesota at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 14.373; Cleveland (Lowe) 13.989
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130); Under

Game 973-974: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 14.388; Tampa Bay (Price) 15.996
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-165); Over

Game 975-976: Oakland at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Colon) 13.263; Kansas City (Paulino) 15.782
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-140); Over

Game 977-978: Seattle at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 17.447; White Sox (Peavy) 16.537
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+120); Under

Game 979-980: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 15.305; LA Angels (Williams) 16.448
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+110); Under

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Today's NBA Picks

Miami at Boston
The Celtics look to take advantage of a Miami team that is 0-5-1 ATS in its last 6 games as a road underdog. Boston is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 3 1/2.
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-1 1/2).

Here are all of today's picks

FRIDAY, JUNE 1

Game 711-712: Miami at Boston (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 124.242; Boston 127.603
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 3 1/2; 177
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 180 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-1 1/2); Under

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WNBA Basketball Picks

Minnesota at Connecticut
The Lynx look to build on their 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 games when playing with 1 day of rest. Minnesota is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-1 1/2).

Here are all of today's picks

FRIDAY, JUNE 1

Game 651-652: Minnesota at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 123.848; Connecticut 118.189
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 5 1/2; 160
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 164
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-1 1/2); Under

Game 653-654: Phoenix at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 106.125; San Antonio 111.895
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 177
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 173 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+9); Over

Game 655-656: Washington at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 102.804; Chicago 114.323
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 11 1/2; 146
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 10 1/2; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-10 1/2); Over

Game 657-658: Tulsa at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 101.626; Seattle 112.764
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 11; 140
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 8 1/2; 144
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-8 1/2); Under

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DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 681-331 (.673)
ATS: 530-516 (.507)
ATS Vary Units: 1412-1322 (.516)
Over/Under: 515-528 (.494)
Over/Under Vary Units: 988-1063 (.482)

Eastern Conference Finals
Game 3, best-of-7

BOSTON 85, Miami 84

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MLB REPORT

Hot pitchers
-- Buehrle is 4-0, 3.19 in his last five starts. Kendrick is 1-1, 1.64 in his last three outings.
-- JSantana is 1-0, 2.45 in his last three starts. Wainwright won his last two starts, allowing one run in 15 IP.
-- Happ is 2-1, 1.96 in his last three starts. Leake is 1-0, 3.57 in his last three starts.
-- Capuano is 6-1, 1.53 in his last seven starts.
-- Miley is 3-0, 2.61 in his last three starts. Richard is 2-2, 2.96 in his four home starts.

-- Lowe is 3-1, 1.93 in his five home starts.
-- Price is 1-1, 2.57 in his last three starts.
-- Paulino is 2-1, 2.03 in five starts this season.
-- Williams is 3-0, 1.90 in his last three home starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Strasburg has a 7.07 RA in his last three starts. Minor is 0-3, 9.95 in his last six starts.
-- Correia is 0-5, 5.77 in his last six starts. Wolf is 0-1, 7.02 in his last three outings.
-- Outman is 8-9, 3.92 in 25 big league starts; he's allowed five runs in 4.2 IP in relief so far this year.
-- Bumgarner is 0-3, 5.67 in his last four starts. Maholm is 0-1, 5.71 in his last three starts.

-- Buchholz is 0-1, 4.67 in his last three starts. Alvarez is 0-2, 7.79 in his last three outings.
-- Sabathia is 1-2, 4.05 in his last three starts. Crosby is 4-2, 4.26 in his nine AAA starts, with 26 walks in 50.2 IP.
-- Pavano is 0-2, 7.53 in his last four starts.
-- WChen has a 4.80 RA in his last five starts.
-- Colon is 1-3, 9.00 in his last four starts.
-- FHernandez is 1-3, 6.66 in his last four starts. Peavy has a 6.50 RA in his last three starts; White Sox are 7-3 in his starts this year.
-- Lewis is 1-3, 7.16 in his last five starts.

Hot teams
-- Marlins won five of their last six games. Phillies just finished a 5-2 road trip, but they've lost four of last five at home.
-- Reds won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Mets won six of their last nine games.
-- Colorado won its last four games, scoring 40 runs.
-- Brewers won their last four games, allowing eight runs. Pirates won five of their last six games.
-- Arizona is 5-7 in its last dozen road games.
-- Giants won three of their last four games. Cubs won last three games, scoring 24 runs, but they've lost seven in a row on foreign soil.

-- Toronto won seven of its last eight home games. Red Sox won four of their last five on the road.
-- Bronx won six of its last eight games.
-- Minnesota won its last three games, allowing six runs.
-- Royals won four of their last five games.
-- White Sox won their last eight games, scoring 65 runs. Seattle won five of last six on road, scoring 31 runs in last two games.
-- Angels won eight of their last nine games.

Cold teams
-- Washington lost its last three games, scoring five runs. Braves lost five of their last six road games.
-- Houston lost their last six games, allowing 51 runs. Cardinals lost six of their last seven road games.
-- Dodgers lost their last four games: 3-2/2-1/6-3/6-2. San Diego lost its last six games, outscored 41-17.

-- Detroit lost three of its last four games.
-- Indians lost five of their last six games.
-- Orioles lost their last five games, scoring 14 runs. Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
-- Oakland lost its last eight games, scoring 12 runs.
-- Rangers lost their last two games, allowing 31 runs.

Totals
-- Under is 15-4-1 in Miami's last 20 road games.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in Atlanta's last six road games.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten games at Citi Field.
-- Under is 5-2 in Houston's last seven home games.
-- Over is 14-4-1 in last nineteen games at Coors Field.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in Wolf's starts this season. Under is 6-2-1 in Correia's starts.
-- Under is 10-3 in Arizona's last thirteen road games.
-- Four of Cubs' last five road games stayed under total.

-- Six of last eight Boston games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Detroit home games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Minnesota road games went over.
-- Last six Cleveland games went over total. Four of last five Baltimore games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Kansas City games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine Chicago home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Texas games went over the total.

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Hondo

Chuck Norris would never let the Rockies smack him around, but Bud Norris did last night so Hondo went draino with the Astros and his ever-expanding deficit ballooned to 1,875 mcnertneys.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will slap the Kiss of Death on the white-hot Chisox – 10 units on Peavy to muzzle the Mariners.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 852- 628 (58 %) over the last 4 years PLUS !

Free Play Fri: SF Giants -160

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The Brian Laverty

Nationals/Braves Over 7.5 (2.5 Units)

Mike Minor has been absolutely horrible this year, and this is most likely going to be his last start for a while in the Braves rotation. The #’s are horrific and it’s amazing that he has lasted this long. He has now given up 4+ runs in less than 6 innings in 6 straight starts. What started out was a decent season has turned into a nightmare for Minor. His confidence is clearly lacking and he is giving up almost 1.6 base runners per inning this year on the roll. While Washington has struggled hitting the ball at times this year, it’s a good spot for them to put up 4+ against a pitcher in terrible form. Strasburg is a hell of a pitcher, but he is also facing tough times in the middle stages of his first full season in the pros. After not giving up more then 2 ER in any of his first 5 starts, he has given up 3+ in 3 of the last 5, and the biggest problem has been his lack of control: 6 BBs in first 5, 11 BBs in his last 5. While he will turn it around soon, Atlanta is not the best matchup for him as he has given up 11 runs in 15.1 IP (3 starts) in his career vs them, and they seem to be one of the few teams who have a good read on him. I really like this to go over the total of 7.5

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Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Friday

100* Play NY Yankees (-175) over Detroit (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST

CC Sabathia has won 10 of the last 11 games when pitching in the month of June and he has won 14 of the last 20 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents. CC Sabathia has won 13 of the last 16 road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and he has won 31 of the last 44 games as a favorite of -125 to -175.

50* Play Washington (-175) over Atlanta (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play San Francisco (-165) over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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The Sports Capper

Hoops Plays

FRIDAY

100* Play Miami (+2) over Boston (TOP NBA PLAY)
8:30 PM EST

Boston has lost 6 of the last 8 games against the spread after having lost three of the last four games and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 road games against the spread coming off a game when both teams scored 100 points or more.

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Bankroll Sports

2* Boston @ Toronto Under 10 (MLB)

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Easy Baseball Betting

Our systems say to go for:

Orioles (+160)

Rockies (-114)

Diamondbacks (-118)

Pirates (+124)

Blue Jays (-126)

Reds (-123)

Tigers (+155)

Royals (-142)

Angels (+111)

Braves (+156)

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Paul Leiner

100* Mariners +120

50* Over 180 Heat/Celtics

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John Morrison / Sports Betting Champ

Official System Pick(s)

Atlanta [A]

Washington

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Celtics
Mets

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Sports Wagers MLB

Boston +117 over TORONTO
Despite a 4-2 record, Clay Buchholz is having an awful season. He’s allowed an eye-opening 75 hits in 56.1 innings for a BAA of .323. Remember, Buchholz went 5-0 in May and June last year with a 2.33 ERA before missing the rest of the year with back problems. He wasn’t as good as that 5-0 run suggests but he’s certainly not as bad as his current 7.19 ERA suggests. His xERA over his last two starts was 2.85. He has a solid groundball rate of 49% and he appears to be rounding back into form. He’ll now take the hill with plenty of confidence against a group of Jays hitters that have 10 measly hits against him in 85 AB’s for a BA of .118. After a brutal start to the year, the Red Sox are now a game over .500, just one game behind the Blue Jays with recent wins against Justin Verlander, David Price and Drew Smyly among others. Henderson Alvarez is 1-3 at home with a 4.36 ERA and it’s no mystery as to why. Alvarez relies heavily on his defense, as he rarely misses a bat with just 19 K’s in 65.2 innings for one of the lowest K rates in the majors. In order to keep this strong hitting guest in check, you need to strike out people in key situations and Alvarez simply cannot. He’s a top groundballer (57%) but that’s not enough to keep us off this live pooch. Play Boston +117 (Risking 2 units).

Minnesota +133 over CLEVELAND
Quite often we talk about overachieving and underachieving pitchers that have misleading stats. Let’s switch gears a bit here and look at underachieving and overachieving clubs. The Indians have somehow managed to stay in first for a good portion of this season but their free-fall has just begun. Cleveland’s 27-23 record has to be considered the AL’s biggest hoax so far when you consider a starting rotation that consists of Josh Tomlin, Justin Masterson, Jeanmar Gómez, Ubaldo Jiminez and today’s stiff, Derek Lowe. They’ve been winning games with their bats but we’re starting to see a team batting average that was as high as .279, starting to drop off. The Tribe have scored just five runs over their past two games and that was against a weak Royals staff. They’ve also lost five of six and the aforementioned starting five plus the pen has allowed 54 runs during that stretch. Lowe has walked 18 and struck out 18 over 61 innings. Such numbers indicate that there is little chance of maintaining that 3.25 ERA. The Twins are 18-32 after a horrible start that saw them open the season with seven wins in 31 games. Since then, Minnesota is 11-8. Carl Pavano is not exactly a stud but what he brings to the table is pinpoint control and the ability to provide his team a chance to win. Two teams moving in opposite directions, both with misleading W/L records allows us to take back a pretty nice tag on the Twinkies. Play: Minnesota +133 (Risking 2 units).

St. Louis +100 over N.Y. METS
To the casual observer, Adam Wainwright's 4.45 ERA this season can be chalked up to Tommy John surgery rust. You know, "The guy has missed a full year and is just taking his time getting 'it' back, like a lot of TJS pitchers do." Actually, nothing could be farther from the truth. Ignore the ERA, as his strand percentage is extremely low at 69% and is sure to rise. What we really have here is an already elite starter that has improved his numbers in every category. Wainright has walked 17 and struck out 51 in 59 innings. His already-stellar groundball/line-drive/fly-ball split has tilted towards even more grounders and is sitting at an elite 55%. Wainwright is in the best stretch of his career and his ERA is going to get much better. There is no Tommy John residue here. Johan Santana’s strikeout rate is outstanding, as he’s whiffing one batter an inning. However, his groundball/fly-ball split is at 36%/40% and with a strand rate of 80%, his 2.75 ERA is unlikely to last. The Cardinals are 6-2 on the road against southpaws and current Cards batters have a .304 batting average, a .457 slugging percentage and a gaudy .829 OPS against Santana. Regardless of outcome, this is a wager that should not be missed. Play: St. Louis +100 (Risking 2 units).

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JOE WIZ

29-8 FREE PLAY RUN (78%)

Friday... In Bases Play Under 8 runs bet. Kansas City and Oakland

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Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAY

3 UNIT PLAY

Miami +2 over BOSTON: Watching the end of the game on Wednesday I had pretty much made up my mind who I was taking in game tonight. I'm going with the Heat. Boston threw everything they had at Miami and out played them for good stretches of the game, but they still lost and more importantly, this aging team spent a ton of energy and they may not have enough left in the tank for this one. Rondo is the engine that makes this Boston team go and he played every minute of Game 2, so you can expect him to be a bit tired here and if he needs frequent rest periods then Boston will really struggle. Miami also had a few players that played a ton of minutes, but they are younger, so I don't expect that to bother them all that much. Miami is rolling right now and they have averaged 102.6 ppg in their last 5 games and when your a tired team it's hardest to play good defense. I don't see Boston being able to keep pace with Miami here.

[WINNERS_ONLY]

italiansoccerking

VITO TIPS
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
Shamrock Rovers -1

MICHAEL TIPS
Czech Republic vs Hungary
Czech Republic -1

SANTINO TIPS
Estonia vs Finland
Estonia +0,0.5

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Pro Tech Sports

‎5* Oakland +135

YTD: 46-46

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA MIAMI at BOSTON

Play Over - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game
81-42 since 1997. ( 65.9% 34.8 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% 3.0 units )

NBA MIAMI at BOSTON

Play On - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MIAMI) average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (<=33%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) after 42+ games
26-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.5% 17.8 units )
6-2 this year. ( 75.0% 3.7 units )

NBA MIAMI at BOSTON

Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games.
110-59 since 1997. ( 65.1% 45.1 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% 1.8 units )

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB SEATTLE at CHI WHITE SOX

Play Against - Any team (SEATTLE) where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season, after a win by 10 runs or more
36-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.6% 22.5 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB PITTSBURGH at MILWAUKEE

MILWAUKEE is 40-11 (+26.0 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: MILWAUKEE (5.1) , OPPONENT (3.6)