Friday Service Plays PREMIUM & FREE PICKS 7/06/12

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WIMBLEDON

Men's Semifinals Preview and Advantages

Novak Djokovic -250 vs. Roger Federer +185

For the second straight grand slam tournament Djokovic will face a six-time champion. The last time he found himself in this situation, he lost in the finals versus Nadal at Roland Garros, which gave Nadal his seventh French Open crown.

Now he faces the man in the cashmere retro sweater for their first meeting at the All England Club - the only place the two haven't met in a grand slam yet. (The sweater, by the way, retails for around $200 if you have the tennis balls to wear it around your buddies.)

Djokovic is the world No. 1, defending Wimby champ and has won six of the last seven meetings with Federer. But during ESPN's coverage on Wednesday, broadcaster Darren Cahill said this could be Federer's best chance at turning the tables on Djokovic. Federer is healthy and in form and effortlessly took down Mikhail Youzhny in the quarters, 6-1, 6-2, 6-2.

Djokovic, however, has barely broken a sweat on his run to the semis. He has only lost one set so far (to Radek Stepanek in the third round) and just looks frightnenigly good right now.

The 25-year-old Serb has only failed to qualify for one grand slam final since the 2010 US Open, which was at last year's French Open when he lost to Federer in the semifinals. He was the pre-tourney fave to win Wimbledon at just +165.

Advantage: Djokovic

Andy Murray -225 vs. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +175

Not a blade of grass nor a speck of bleachers could be seen for spectators on "Murray Mount" during Wednesday's quarterfinal match against David Ferrer, which Murray won in four sets. Murray now has a chance to become the first Brit to reach the finals of Wimbledon since Bunny Austin in 1938.

If you're a betting man, you have to like his chances. Murray is 5-1 against Jo-Willy including a victory at the finals of the Queen's Club event just before Wimbledon. Murray also beat Tsonga at Wimbledon in four sets of the quarterfinals at Wimbledon in 2010.

Murray is one of the few on the ATP who can serve with Tsonga's power so this one will likely come down to nerves and ground strokes - and maybe physical fitness if we see this go five sets.

This marks the second straight year Tsonga has reached the Wimby semis and the fourth straight year for Murray.

Advantage: Murray

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WNBA

The league’s best and worst wagers

We’re about to come into a little bit of a lull in the summer sports betting calendar. The Euros have come and gone, Wimbledon is nearing its end, the MLB All-Star break is just around the corner, and the London Olympics are still weeks away.

So, there isn’t a better time to dig into some WNBA betting – if you’re into that sort of thing.

Here’s a brass-tacks look at what you might have missed as we close in on the midway point of the WNBA season.

All stats compiled before Wednesday's action.

Best team against the spread: San Antonio Silver Stars- 10-3 ATS

At 8-5 straight up, the Silver Stars sit in third place in the West, trailing Los Angeles and the league-leading Minnesota Lynx. But San Antonio is second to none among bettors. With Sophia Young filling up the stat sheet and the Silver Stars averaging 81.9 points per game, the club has been held to fewer than 80 points just once in the last seven games.

Worst team against the spread: New York Liberty – 5-9 ATS

The Liberty sit second from the bottom in the East, ahead of only the 3-10 Washington Mystics. New York averages only 71.4 points per game (10th) while allowing 80.1 points per contest (ninth) and is 2-4 both straight up and against the spread over its last six. Cappie Pondexter, a 5-foot-9 guard, is the club’s most dangerous weapon. She averages 18.8 points per game, but even that is her second lowest average in the last seven years.

Best OVER Team: Minnesota Lynx – Over/under 10-5

After setting a WNBA record with 10 straight wins to start a season, the Lynx have slipped a bit lately. They are still 13-2 straight up, but both of those losses have come in the last five games and the Lynx have covered just once over that stretch. They keep on cashing for over bettors though, with each of their last four playing above the total. With four players scoring in double figures, the Lynx average a league-best 85.4 points per game.

Best UNDER Team: Atlanta Dream – Over/under 5-10

Outside of Angel McCoughtry, who leads the league scoring 22.6 points per game, the Dream just don’t have much in the cupboard. They sit in the middle of the pack in most significant team offensive and defensive statistics. When it comes to under bets, take a long look at them when they’re playing at home. The under has cashed in seven of Atlanta’s nine home games to date.

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Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 2 Preview and Picks
by Jon Campbell

The East Division was supposed to be better this year. The West Division made it clear in Week 1 that they’re going to have to prove it.

The West went 4-0 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) and now the East comes limping into Week 2 licking its wounds.

Winnipeg Bluebombers vs. Montreal Alouettes (-7, 51.5)

It’s hard to believe that Montreal has failed to cover in nine straight games after last week’s 38-10 loss at Calgary. The Als have also lost five in a row straight up with their last win coming on Oct. 16, 2011 against Hamilton.

Speaking of five in a row, that’s the same money streak the Bluebombers have going against Montreal. Winnipeg looks like it has its gritty defense back after a 33-10 loss at B.C. last week. It was a performance that was better than the score indicated on the road against the defending Grey Cup champs.

Bombers QB Buck Pierce is banged up, as usual, after leaving last week’s game with a thigh injury. But Alex Brink is an OK backup if he has to fill in and seven points seems like too many to give a team that never seems to give much.

Pick: Winnipeg +7

Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. B.C. Lions (-7, 53)

Hamilton started the season as a 3-1 Grey Cup favorite. A week later and it looks like this team is going to need more time to gel than oddsmakers originally anticipated.

Hamilton’s new passing attack with Henry Burris taking the snaps didn’t go quite as planned in a 43-16 loss to Saskatchewan. Burris threw for 284 yards with no TDs and one INT.

So why aren’t the Kitty-Cats more of an underdog on the road against a B.C. team that looks as sharp as it did last year?

Because Hamilton gives the Lions a hard time for some strange reason. The Ti-Cats won both meetings last year and have covered the spread in six of the last seven clashes.

Still.

Pick: Lions -7

Calgary Stampeders vs. Toronto Argonauts (4, 48.5)

Canadian running back Jon Cornish bowled his way to 86 yards and two touchdowns in a convincing win over Montreal last week. Not sure the Stamps are going to have the same success against an Argos defense that likes to play physical and allowed just 15 points in a four-point loss last week.

Don’t count on there being too many games this season where the Argos allow fewer than 20 points and end up losing the game with Ricky Ray running the offense.

Pick: Toronto +4

Edmonton Eskimos vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (-4.5, 48)

There might not be any team that wants to win this week as badly as the Roughriders. They went 0-10 against Western opponents last season and desperately hope to end that trend in their home opener this season.

Saskatchewan seemed to easily rack up 43 points on Hamilton last week and QB Darian Durant was named Offensive Player of the Week with four TDs and a whack of yards. Meanwhile, the Eskies struggled in the post-Ricky Ray era on offense against Toronto and they know they’re in for a battle in Regina.

Pick: Saskatchewan

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Walking Wounded: Can these MLB Teams Overcome their Injuries?
by Ryan Stetson

Injuries are just as much a part of baseball as rain delays and blown calls. Nobody likes them, but they’re just part of the game.

In a 162-game season, teams take turns dealing with the injury bug, which is why this time of the year is going to be very important to a handful of beat up clubs. After the All-Star break, teams will have a little more than two weeks before the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline.

So, right now they’re evaluating where they are and deciding what they need to do at the trade deadline. A lot of that has to do with the injuries they’re dealing with.

Here are three teams that have been hammered by injuries this season and a look at whether they can turn it around in the second half.

All stats compiled prior to Wednesday’s action.

Los Angeles Dodgers: 45-37, +5.88 units

The Dodgers jumped out of the gate this year by winning nine of their first 10 games. Then Matt Kemp’s hamstring started acting up and Los Angeles’ offense went in the crapper. Andre Either, who is now out with an oblique injury, has struggled without any protection in the lineup and the Dodgers continue to search for another bat.

Meanwhile, Ted Lilly has just landed on the 60-day DL, so L.A. may also be in the market for another starter. Heading into Wednesday’s action the Dodgers were still tied for first in the NL West, so there’s no reason to think they won’t be able to turn it up again in the second half.

New York Yankees: 48-32, +5.09 units

Despite injuries to C.C. Sabathia, Andy Pettitte, Joba Chamberlin, Mariano Rivera, Nick Swisher and Brett Gardner, the Yankees hold a six-game lead at the top of the AL East after going 20-7 in June.

With a patchwork rotation and the amount of chalk the Bombers see on a daily basis, it’s hard to see them being a good bet after the break unless they make a major splash to pick up a couple of experienced and reliable arms before the deadline. Robinson Cano can’t carry them forever.

Philadelphia Phillies: 37-46, -20.20 units

The Phillies barely had a chance to begin the season with Ryan Howard out with his Achillies injury and then Chase Utley hit the shelf with a bad knee. To make matters worse, very few of the club’s veterans pulled their weight early in the season. Vance Worley has been pitching with pain in his elbow all year and Roy Halladay has been out since the end of May with his shoulder injury.

Maybe the Phillies cut into this huge deficit they’ve piled on their supporters, but coming back from 12 games out in the competitive NL East seems very unlikely. At this point, the Phillies look old and out of contention.

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Friday's Streaking & Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking

Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers (6-4, 2.65 ERA)

The Dodgers have won four of Kershaw’s last six starts, but could have been perfect over that stretch if they gave him a little run support. He allowed just three runs in those two losses. The lefty responded with a win over the Mets, holding them to one earned run in seven innings while striking out nine. He has at least seven strikeouts in five consecutive starts.

Travis Wood, Chicago Cubs (3-3, 3.05 ERA)

Wood hasn’t allowed a run in 18 2/3 innings and has yielded only one run in his last three starts combined. After serving up six homers in a three-start span earlier this season, he has allowed only one dinger in his last six outings. Wood owns a 1.09 WHIP this year.

Slumping

Kyle Kendrick, Philadelphia Phillies (2-8, 5.35 ERA)

The Phillies have lost four of Kendrick’s last five starts and he owns a 7.67 ERA over that span. He allowed five runs in the first six batters he faced in his last outing, a 5-4 loss to Pittsburgh. Kendrick has served up 10 homers this season, five in the last four starts, and owns a 8.63 ERA in the first two innings of games this year.

Erik Bedard, Pittsburgh Pirates (4-9, 4.57 ERA)

Bedard was smacked for five runs and two homers in 4 2/3 innings of work in his last trip to the hill and Pittsburgh has lost each of his last four outings. However, he is much better at home than he is on the road. He has given up 32 runs in 43 2/3 innings of work on the road, but owns a 2.31 ERA at PNC Park this season.

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Friday’s Betting Tips

Youkilis has ChiSox Surging

Who’s HOT

MLB: Over is 16-7 in the New York Yankees' last 23 games in Boston.

MLB: Athletics are 20-8 in their last 28 games as a home favorite.

CFL: Blue Bombers are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games as an underdog.

WNBA: Connecticut Sun are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.

Who’s NOT

MLB: Houston is 3-11 in its last 14 games against Milwaukee.

MLB: Mariners are 23-51 in their last 74 games as a road underdog.

CFL: Alouettes are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.

WNBA: Liberty are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.

Key Stat

90 – The Washington Mystics scored 90 points for the first time this season in a win over Phoenix that snapped a five-game losing streak both straight up and against the spread. The Mystics now face the San Antonio, which has scored at least 90 points in four of its last six.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Buck Pierce, Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Winnipeg’s quarterback was forced to leave last week’s blowout loss to the B.C. Lions with a knee injury. He says he’s “confident” he’ll be able to start Friday against Montreal, but has been spotted limping around for most of this week.

Game of the Day

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox (-115, 9.5)

Notable Quotable

“Subconsciously, I’m probably pretty stressed out right now but I try not to show it. Obviously, the pressure is there, if I thought too much about it, it would become too much, but if you shield yourself and listen only to those around you, you can manage. And they give you the confidence you need.” – Andy Murray about playing in front of the British crowd at Wimbledon. He’s trying to become the first British man to make the tournament’s final since 1938 and is a -227 favorite over Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in Friday’s semifinal.

Notes and Tips

Kevin Youkilis hit what turned out to be the game-winning homer for the Chicago White Sox in a 2-1 win over Texas on Thursday. That win moved the club to 7-3 since it acquired Youkilis from the Boston Red Sox. "He has an energy he brings -- the competitiveness he has. It's infectious, and it's a good thing for our guys to see in a guy who has been a winner," White Sox manager Robin Ventura told reporters.

Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic have faced each other 26 times, but Friday will be the first time they will square off on grass. Djokovic is 12-14 in those meetings and is a -250 favorite against Federer +180.

The Toronto Raptors acquired point guard Kyle Lowry from the Houston Rockets in exchange for a future lottery pick and Gary Forbes. Meanwhile, ESPN reports that veteran point guard Jason Kidd will sign a three-year $9 million-deal with the Knicks instead of inking with the Dallas Mavericks again.

It's possible Phillies first baseman Ryan Howard could rejoin the team this weekend, although it is by no means a certainty. "I guess it's possible," Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro Jr. said Thursday afternoon. "But we'll see how he feels the next day or so." Howard, who had left Achilles surgery last fall, has played six games in rehab assignments with Class A Lakewood and Triple-A Lehigh Valley. He is hitting a combined .471 (8-for-17) with two doubles, one home run, nine RBIs, three walks and three strikeouts.

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MLB Free VIDEO Pick: New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Betting

Bryan Leonard and host Scott Spreitzer.

Bryan`s Pick: New York Yankees ML

In a low scoring game.

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Is there NO relief? MLB's Worst Bankroll-Busting Bullpens
by Jason Logan

The Miami Marlins reached deep into their wallets this past winter, pulling out over $12 million to bolster their bullpen with nine of those milli going to closer Heath Bell, who signed a three-year $27 million deal with the Fish this offseason.

For Miami’s sake, let’s hope the Marlins left the tags on Bell or at least hung on to the receipt.

After being demoted from the closer’s role early into the season, he’s recently returned to ninth-inning duties with mixed results. Bell picked up 14 saves in his last 25 appearances and was without a blown save until Tuesday’s implosion versus the Milwaukee Brewers.

He served up a two-run, walk-off homer to Aramis Ramirez in the bottom of the 12th inning, handing Marlins backers a crushing 13-12 loss as +113 road underdogs after coming back from a 9-2 hole in the seventh. It was Bell’s fifth blown save of 2012 and Miami’s 12th of the year.

"We make errors and we pick each other up," Bell told the media. "I just unfortunately made an error that can’t be picked up. It really stinks."

Tell that to Miami backers who have been burned for -3.64 units due to Bell's gaffes. However, thanks to some last-minute heroics from the lineup, Miami’s 12 blown saves have only cost South Beach bettors 0.58 units.

The Colorado Rockies lead baseball with 16 blown saves. And if you’re still betting on Colorado at this point, the thin Rocky Mountain air is starving your brain of much-needed oxygen.

Here are three other bullpens breaking MLB bettors’ hearts – and bankrolls - in the ninth inning:

Milwaukee Brewers (13 blown saves – 55 save percentage)

Much like Bell, the Brewers’ highly-touted new closer Francisco Rodriguez hasn’t lived up to his billing. But, unlike Bell, Milwaukee has amazingly been able to bail out K-Rod on all four of his blown saves. John Axford, on the other hand, hasn’t been so lucky. Three of his four blown saves have resulted in losses for the Brew Crew, costing bettors -2.08 units.

Toronto Blue Jays (11 blown saves – 56 save percentage)

Same song, different band. The Blue Jays brass went on a bullpen spending spree this offseason, adding relief arms to avoid suffering through another summer of blown save after blown save. Toronto, which tied for the most BS in the America League with 25 in 2011, is at it again in 2012. An injury to closer Sergio Santos (who didn’t look all that great before getting hurt) has forced the Jays to lean on guys like Francisco Cordero (four blown saves) and Jason Frasor (three blown saves) in the ninth.

St. Louis Cardinals (13 blown saves - 57 save percentage)

The Cardinals are a weirdo team when it comes to their bullpen. St. Louis finished second in blown saves with 26 last year, then wasted only one in the postseason en route to a World Series title. Through the first three months of the 2012 calendar, the Cards are back to their old tricks with fingers pointing at Marc Rzepczynski and Jason Motte, who have combined for nine blown saves and -5.47 units – nearly 75 percent of St. Louis’ total units lost this season.

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Today's CFL Picks

Hamilton at BC
The Tiger-Cats look to build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3 1/2 to 10 points. Hamilton is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by only 4 1/2.
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+6 1/2).

Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 6

Game 421-422: Winnipeg at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 108.276; Montreal 116.756
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 8 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-6 1/2); Over

Game 423-424: Hamilton at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 110.884; BC 115.211
Dunkel Line: BC by 4 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: BC by 6 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+6 1/2); Under

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JOE WIZ

Friday In Bases Play Under 7 runs bet. San Diego and Cincinnati

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MIKE HOOK

Here are 4 players with EARLY tee times that are also in favorable groupings, where i expect them to go low. 2 of them are best friends, and tee off in the first group of the morning. Another is a wunderkid, while the other is a veteran. Let's put a half unit on the 4 of them. Based on their advanced stats, i think we have a chance here a wide open field.

GREENBRIER TO WIN: (A HALF UNIT ON EACH)

KEN DUKE: 40-1

PATRICK CANTLAY: 65-1

JOHN MERRICK: 110-1

JOHN MALLINGER: 125-1

It's by no surprise that i chose 3 out of the 4. They are very competitive with each other, and i guarantee you they have some sweet side money going. The fact all 3 tee off early, i feel quite confident they go low early to set the pace. At these odds, i have to do this.

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Today's MLB Picks

NY Yankees at Boston
The Yankees look to build on their 8-1 record in their last 9 games following an off day. New York is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1 1/2.
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-105).

Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 6

Game 901-902: Atlanta at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 14.435; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.117
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+110); Over

Game 903-904: San Francisco at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 15.773; Pittsburgh (Bedard) 14.802
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+120); Over

Game 905-906: Colorado at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Pomeranz) 15.725; Washington (Strasburg) 15.059
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-230); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+190); Over

Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 15.005; NY Mets (Santana) 15.324
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-170); Over

Game 909-910: Milwaukee at Houston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 13.768; Houston (Happ) 14.601
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115); Over

Game 911-912: Miami at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Nolasco) 15.867; St. Louis (Westbrook) 15.337
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+130); Under

Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.264; Arizona (Collmenter) 14.387
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-110); Under

Game 915-916: Cincinnati at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.666; San Diego (Wells) 16.405
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120); Under

Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 15.706; Cleveland (Masterson) 15.523
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+125); Over

Game 919-920: Kansas City at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Sanchez) 14.726; Detroit (Smyly) 15.629
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Detroit (-170); 10
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-170); Over

Game 921-922: NY Yankees at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 16.247; Boston (Beckett) 14.625
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-105); Over

Game 923-924: Minnesota at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 14.527; Texas (Perez) 15.217
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-140); Over

Game 925-926: Toronto at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Laffey) 14.504; White Sox (Peavy) 16.393
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-160); Over

Game 927-928: Baltimore at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.269; LA Angels (Wilson) 14.528
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 929-930: Seattle at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Millwood) 14.346; Oakland (Milone) 16.283
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-150); Over

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WNBA Basketball Picks

New York at Chicago
The Liberty look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a home favorite. New York is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sky favored by only 3 1/2.
Dunkel Pick: New York (+5 1/2).

Here are all of today's picks

FRIDAY, JULY 6

Game 601-602: San Antonio at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 117.296; Washington 107.441
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 10; 146
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4 1/2; 149 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-4 1/2); Under

Game 603-604: Connecticut at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 111.682; Tulsa 109.227
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 2 1/2; 168
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 9; 163 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+9); Over

Game 605-606: New York at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 109.662; Chicago 113.222
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 151
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 5 1/2; 145
Dunkel Pick: New York (+5 1/2); Over

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 870- 641 (58 %) over the last 4 years PLUS

FRI: Mets w/ Santana

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Baseball Crusher

Cleveland Indians -140 over Tampa Bay Rays

(System Record: 50-2, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 50-42

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Friday

Giants/Pirates under 9

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Hondo

Hondo, who cashed with the never-say-die Metamucils last night, could have enjoyed a double-delight but the Giants folded in D.C., so the debt grew slightly to 1,565 carbos.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will do the Hiroki-pokey in Fenway Pahk if the Yankees take care of business against Slosh Beckett – 10 units. Also, he is hoping for a laugher with Laffey in Chicago – 10 units on the Blue Jays.

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB TORONTO at CHI WHITE SOX

Play Against - Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHI WHITE SOX) after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, playing on Friday.
31-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.3% 24.4 units )
1-4 this year. ( 20.0% -2.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB BALTIMORE at LA ANGELS

BALTIMORE is 16-8 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better this season.

The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.2) , OPPONENT (4.1)

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Brandon Lang

My 10 Dime Money Move selection is on the Mets on the run line over the Cubs.

The current line on this game is averaging +130 at the majority of sports books in Vegas and offshore.

Please list Wood and Santana at the time of wager.

Your Friday free pick is the Dodgers over the D'backs.

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5 LINES

MLB - Atlanta / Philadelphia UNDER 9

MLB - Philadelphia Phillies Runline +1.5

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MLB REPORT

Hot pitchers
-- THudson is 3-1, 1.26 in his last four road starts.
-- Zito allowed one run in 13 IP in splitting his last two starts.
-- Pomeranz has a 2.87 RA in his last three starts.
-- Wood is 3-0, 0.44 in his last three starts. JSantana is 2-1, 0.90 in his last three starts.
-- Happ is 2-1, 2.84 in his last three starts. Gallardo is 2-1, 2.78 in his last three outings.
-- St Louis won last four Westbrook starts (2-0, 3.33). Nolasco is 1-0, 1.98 in his last couple starts.
-- Kershaw is 1-1, 2.57 in his last three starts.

-- Masterson is 3-2, 2.00 in his last five starts.
-- Kuroda is 4-1, 1.85 in his last five starts.
-- Liriano is 1-0, 3.32 in his last three starts. Perez won his first MLB start, allowing two runs in 5.1 IP.
-- Peavy is 0-4, 3.19 in his last six starts, ; White Sox scored twice in his last four outings. Laffey is 0-0, 2.25 in two starts this season.
-- Angels won Wilson's last eight starts (5-0, 1.86).
-- Milone is 5-1, 1.18 in his six home starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Kendrick is 0-4, 8.33 in his last five starts.
-- Bedard is 0-3, 7.65 in his last four starts.
-- Strasburg is 0-2, 6.00 in his last two starts.
-- Arroyo is 1-3, 5.27 in his last seven starts.
-- Collmenter is 0-2, 7.31 in six starts, but is 0-0, 1.80 in his last two, with total of 10 IP in the two games.
-- KWells is 1-1, 3.75 in his first two starts for San Diego.

-- Cobb is 0-2, 8.78 in his last two starts.
-- Smyly is 1-2, 7.30 in his last five starts. JSanchez is 0-2, 7.77 in his last four starts.
-- Beckett is 0-3, 3.86 in his last four starts.
-- Eveland is 0-1, 7.45 in two starts this season.
-- Millwood is 0-2, 6.75 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Braves won seven of their last ten road games.
-- Pirates won eight of their last nine games.
-- Washington won its last four games, scoring 29 runs.
-- Mets won five of their last seven games. Cubs won seven of last ten.
-- Miami won six of its last eight games. Cardinals won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Dodgers won four of their last five games.
-- Padres won their last six games, scoring 35 runs.

-- Detroit won six of its last nine home games.
-- Twins won five of their last seven games.
-- Bronx Bombers won 10 of their last 13 away games.
-- White Sox won six of their last seven home games.
-- Indians won five of their last six games.
-- Angels won five of their last six home games.
-- A's won their last four games, allowing six runs.

Cold Teams
-- Phillies lost seven of their last eight games.
-- San Francisco is 3-8 in its last eleven road games.
-- Colorado lost 21 of its last 28 games.
-- Houston lost its last eight games, outscored 44-18. Brewers lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Arizona lost eight of its last ten games.
-- Reds lost eight of their last eleven games on foreign soil.

-- Rangers lost their last four games, allowing 29 runs.
-- Royals are 7-10 in their last seventeen road games.
-- Red Sox lost four of last five games, scoring nine runs.
-- Tampa Bay lost eight of its last eleven games.
-- Toronto lost three of its last four road games.
-- Baltimore lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Mariners are 5-9 in their last fourteen games.

Totals
-- Nine of last twelve Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-1-2 in last eleven Pittsburgh games.
-- Four of last five Colorado games stayed under the total.
-- Five of Cubs' last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Under is 12-4-1 in last seventeen games at Busch Stadium.
-- Seven of last ten Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 13-2-1 in last sixteen Cincinnati games.

-- Eight of last nine Tampa Bay games stayed under total.
-- 11 of last 16 Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Last seven Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 11-4 in last fifteen White Sox games.
-- Over is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Angel games.
-- Ten of last eleven Oakland games stayed under total.

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Easy Baseball Betting

Our systems say to go for:

Pirates (-140),

Phillies (+117),

Yankees (-103),

White Sox (-160),

Mets (-166),

Nationals (-219),

Astros (+127).

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Paul Leiner

100* LA Dodgers -110

50* Over 8.5 Indians/Rays

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Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Friday

100* Play Washington (-215) over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST

Colorado has lost 12 of the last 13 games as an underdog of +175 to +250 and they have also lost 11 of the last 16 games vs. NL East Division Opponents. Colorado has lost 5 of the last 6 games and they have lost 9 of the last 12 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 7.5 runs.

50* Play Detroit (-165) over Kansas City (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play NY Mets (-165) over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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Jimmy Boyd

***TOP PLAY*** 5* 'Never Lost' 7-0 MLB *Friday Night Feast*

Oakland A's -143

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SPORTS WAGERS MLB

Miami +130 over ST. LOUIS
Miami had a rough June, ranking 29th in the league in runs scored. This is a team with plenty of offensive weapons that had a bad month. As a result, they could be a live pooch over the next couple of weeks and coming off back-to-back wins in Milwaukee gives them a little momentum heading into this final weekend before the break. Ricky Nolasco tossed a gem in his last start. Despite all his inconsistencies, he's raised his GB% to a career high 48% this year. The Cardinals couldn't hit him on June 25 (6 IP, 0 ER, 4 Ks), and given the venue it stands to reason he should produce another successful outing. Jake Westbrook is an inning eater. He’s also the epitome of an average pitcher. Westbrook had a rough outing against the Pirates in his last start, he has a 4.98 ERA at pitcher-friendly Busch and he can implode on any given day. Westbrook has much more appeal taking back a price than he does when spotting one, thus giving us some nice value on the Fish. Play: Miami +130 (Risking 2 units).

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WUNDERDOG
WNBA 37-29 Last 66 picks +$820
Game: San Antonio at Washington (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Washington +5 (-110)

The San Antonio Silver Stars were in Indiana last night, and after a no-show in the first half that found them down by 15 points, they poured it on in the second half out-scoring the Fever 60-29. That game took a tremendous effort, and energy. Travelling to Washington, and playing the next night against a cupcake opponent that is a woeful 3-10 on the season is not going to have them bringing their "A" game. Washington may be 3-10 on the season, but they have played a lot of teams tough. All three of their wins have come at home, and they beat Indiana here, and lost to Minnesota by just 2. This is a tough spot for San Antonio vs. a pesky opponent that won't get their attention. Play on Washington.

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Cappers Access

NY Mets(RL)

Boston Red Sox

Chicago W.Sox(RL)

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Paul Leiner

1500* MLB Reds -130

100* MLB Dodgers -110

50* MLB Over 8.5 Rays/Indians

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GoodFella

Friday MLB Total (possible upgrade to a Premium Paid Play later too, fwiw)

2* TWINS / RANGERS OVER 10.5

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Profitbets

LA Angels 1H ML

LA Angels ML

Washington Nationals 1H ML

Washington Nationals ML

OVER 9.5 Miami / St. Louis

Boston Red Sox ML

Chicago White Sox ML

NY Mets ML

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Jimmy Boyd

***TOP PLAY*** 5* 'Never Lost' 7-0 MLB *Friday Night Feast*

Oakland A's -143

FREE PLAY
Texas Rangers -145
Texas hasn't lost more than four in a row this season. The last time it lost four straight, it responded with a 7-3 win over the Angels. I expect a similar response this evening.

The Rangers are an impressive 40-17 in their last 57 home games, 41-14 in their last 55 games following a loss, 21-3 in their last 24 home games after 2 or more consecutive losses and 44-15 in their last 59 series openers.

In addition, Minnesota's Liriano cannot be trusted on the road, where he's 0-5 with a 6.44 ERA. Texas' Perez pitched well in his first major league start. The 21-year-old left-hander allowed two runs in 5 1-3 innings of a 7-2 win over Oakland. He should find more success this evening as Minnesota isn't familiar with his stuff.

Take Texas.

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Info Plays

7* MLB FREE PICK ON CHICAGO CUBS +160

[Edward23]

Jack Jones

BetFirms

148-120 Last L268 Free Picks!

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Texas Rangers -140

After dropping four straight, including a sweep at the hands of the Chicago White Sox over the weekend, the Texas Rangers return home highly motivated for a victory tonight. Texas is still 50-33 on the season, including 27-15 in home games.

The Rangers will be welcoming the Minnesota Twins to town just in time to turn things around. The Twins are owners of the second-worst record in the American League at 35-47. Texas has won four straight over Minnesota in this series.

Francisco Liriano has struggled all year for the Twins, going 2-7 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.473 WHIP in 13 starts and five relief appearances. The left-hander is 0-5 with a 6.44 ERA and 1.671 WHIP in six road starts as well. In his lone start this season, Texas' Martin Perez gave up two earned runs over 5 1/3 innings of a 7-2 victory over Oakland.

The Rangers have not lost five straight games in over a year. That last happened from June 11-16 back in 2011. Texas is 21-3 in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Rangers Friday.

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CT1288pick

NY Yankees ML