Spain vs. France: Preview and Match Analysis
by Ashton Grewal
Odds: Spain (-133), France (+393), Draw (+249)
Total: Over 2 (-110), Under 2 (+102)
FIFA world ranking: No. 1
Recent results: 1-0 win vs. Croatia (Group C Match Day 3), 4-0 win vs. Ireland (Group C Match Day 2), 1-1 draw vs. Italy (Group C Match Day 1), 1-0 win vs. China (06/03/12), 4-1 win vs. South Korea (05/30/12).
Spain is the defending Euro and World Cup champions, and enter Saturday’s quarterfinal undefeated with a 6-to-1 goals for/against ratio. And yet, the world beaters seem to have dropped some style points from the media following an uninspiring 1-0 win against Croatia.
Spain scored late in that one and still doesn’t seem to have its lone attacker figured out. Fernando Torres looked fantastic against Ireland but squandered multiple chances as a sub against Italy and was practically non-existent against Croatia.
La Roja continue to dominate possession stats but quality finishing seems to desert them. This team misses regular striker David Villa.
FIFA world ranking: No. 14
Recent results: 0-2 loss vs. Sweden (Group C Match Day 3), 2-0 win vs. Ukraine (Group C Match Day 2), 1-1 draw vs. England (Group C Match Day 1), 4-0 win vs. Estonia (06/05/12), 2-0 win vs. Serbia (05/31/12).
France was riding a 22-match unbeaten streak before the disappointing 0-2 loss to Sweden, and things didn’t go over well with the players in the locker room following the setback. Team manager Laurent Blanc admitted there were some heated moments between his players after the match but said it’s all water under the bridge now.
Tread carefully. Remember, Les Bleus had a club mutiny at the 2010 World Cup and there isn’t a strong leader on the pitch capable of getting all the bloated egos checked at the door.
France is still a dangerous offensive side, but does it have the discipline to wait for the right time to push forward? Will we see forward players unwilling to run back and defend?
Tactics and formations:
Spain will roll out in its standard 4-5-1 formation with its five midfielders holding possession for most of the match. The only guess is what La Roja will do at striker. Will Torres start or will midfielder Cesc Fabregas play up in his place? A lot of people would like to see Fernando Llorente get a chance.
Projected Spain lineup: Casillas, Ramos (Jordi Alba), Pique, Ramos (Sergio), Arbeloa, Alonso, Busquets, Iniesta, Xavi, Silva, Torres.
France plays a 4-2-3-1 but there could be some different personnel on the pitch against Spain. We know for sure center back Philippe Mexes won’t start due to suspension, which should bump Laurent Koscielny into the starting 11. Don’t expect to see Florent Malonda again.
Projected France lineup: Lloris, Erva, Koscielny, Rami, Debuchy, M’Vila, Diarra, Ribery, Cabaye, Nasri, Benzema.
Results 1 to 35 of 86
06-22-2012, 10:39 PM #1
Saturday Service Plays PREMIUM & FREE PICKS 6/23/12
06-22-2012, 10:43 PM #2
UFC 147 Betting Preview
Will Brazilian crowd decide Silva-Franklin 2?
The UFC isn’t letting fight fans catch their breath this weekend, following Friday’s UFC on FX card with UFC 147, headlined by a catch-weight bout between two MMA legends.
Rich Franklin and Wanderlei Silva square off for the second time, following Franklin’s decision victory at UFC 99 back in June 2009. While neither veteran is going to be contending for a title anytime soon, the big-name draw has grabbed the attention of sports bettors.
According to renowned MMA linesmaker Joey Oddessa, he opened Silva as a slight -125 favorite in May. Silva is fighting in his home country of Brazil, with Saturday’s event being held at the Estádio Jornalista Felipe Drumond in Belo Horizonte. But despite a clear home-court advantage, MMA money has flipped the odds and now has Franklin sitting as high as -170 for this bout.
“It's been all Franklin since,” Oddessa told Covers. “The favorite flipped early and has stayed steady. Players backed off a bit when it hit Franklin -155. There are still some Franklin -140s out there.”
Franklin took the fight on short notice after the UFC 147 card was revamped numerous times, replacing Vitor Belfort who pulled out after breaking his hand in training. He’ll face Silva at a 190-pound catch weight, a task Oddessa believes Franklin is ready for.
“Short notice doesn't help anyone, even with the catch weight,” he says. “Sure, Rich has to make the weight, but only he knows how his weight cut is going. Weigh-ins are overrated because no two fighters are the same in how they handle it and recover.”
Their previous encounter earned Silva and Franklin Fight of the Night honors at UFC 99. Franklin edged Silva on the judges’ cards 30–27, 29–28, 29–28 that night in Cologne, Germany. However, if Saturday's bout does go the distance, the tables could be turned thanks to the Brazilian crowd's influence on the scorers.
“I'd be disappointed if they weren't influenced,” says Oddessa. “They're human and if it's close, it’s going to have an impact on some of the better judges in the sport.”
“I expect both guys to start swinging for the fences about half way through Round 1. Unlike the German bout, I don't see it going the distance. And if it does, Brazil's a tough venue to get a decision in against a local all-time great.”
American fighters are a staggering 1-9 versus Brazilian foes on their home soil, looking back over the results from UFC 134 and 142.
Here’s a look at the rest of the main card and odds for UFC 147 Saturday:
Cezar Ferreira (-300) vs. Sergio Moraes (+229)
Moraes gets a ticket to the TUF final thanks to an injury to Daniel Sarafian, who knocked his ass out during the reality TV competition. He’s a great grappler but on short notice and with the ghost of KO’s past haunting him, his UFC debut could be a little too much to handle.
Godofredo Pepey (+240) vs. Rony Mariano Bezerra (-300)
The Brazilian TUF featherweight crown is up for grabs. Bezerra has the edge in experience and displayed his versatility during the show, scoring wins via KO, submission and decision. But you hate to eat that much chalk with unproven talent.
Fabricio Werdum (-555) vs. Mike Russow (+380)
Werdum has looked solid since knocking Fedor Emelianenko off his throne two years ago. He took a decision loss to Alistair Overeem and beat big-boned Roy Nelson at UFC 143 in February. As mentioned above, Americans don’t usually make it out of Brazil on their feet, but Russow has won 11 straight fights including going 4-0 in the UFC.
Yuri Alcantara (-280) vs. Hacran Dias (+215)
Dias makes his much ballyhooed UFC debut Saturday. The promotion bypassed his potential run on TUF and signed him straight up. At +215, and fighting to give his family a better life, he’s the liveliest dog in the bunch.
06-22-2012, 10:44 PM #3
Rich Frankllin -150 over Wanderlei Silva
06-22-2012, 10:47 PM #4
Saturday’s Betting Tips
"France deals with dressing room spat"
Weather to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals – 17 mph winds are expected to blow out to left field.
San Francisco Giants at Oakland Athletics – 16 mph winds are expected to blow out to right-centerfield.
MLB: Under is 8-1-1 in Randall Delgado’s last 10 starts for Atlanta.
MLB: Tampa Bay Rays are 59-28 in their last 87 vs. a team with a losing record.
MLB: Chicago White Sox are 49-24 in their last 73 interleague games.
WNBA: Minnesota Lynx are 44-21 ATS in their last 65 games overall.
MLB: Cubs are 1-6 in Paul Maholm's last seven starts.
MLB: Angels are 5-13 in Ervin Santana's last 18 starts.
MLB: Colorado Rockies are 2-12 in their last 14 overall.
MLB: Phoenix Mercury are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
3 – Oakland A’s starter Travis Blackley and reliever Ryan Cook combined to hold the Los Angeles Dodgers to three hits Thursday, marking the third consecutive game that the staff allowed no more than three hits.
Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked
Epiphanny Prince, Chicago Sky – Prince suffered a broken foot last weekend and will be out of action indefinitely. Prince was leading the WNBA with 22.3 points per game. Chicago is set as a 14-point underdog at Minnesota.
Game of the Day
Spain (-139) vs. France (+360), Draw (+235)
“There is no conflict. There were words exchanged after the game. There was a reaction. Some players were very angry. That is true. Certain things were said. We acted on those. People are worked up and angry after a defeat and there were raised voices. It did delay us in terms of when we could start preparing for the game with Spain but you have priorities that have to be dealt with.”- France head coach Laurent Blanc about the team trying to get past a dressing room altercation that ensued after the club’s disappointing loss to Sweden.
Notes and Tips
Spain has yielded more than one goal in just one of their last 25 Euro and World Cup matches, but the one team that did was France when it downed Spain 3-1 in the 2006 World Cup. However, France would love to get Karim Benzema on track. He has attempted 17 shots in the tournament, the most of anyone without a goal.
Minnesota Twins slugger Joe Mauer could return to the lineup Saturday after sitting out a few games with a bruised thigh. Mauer was available to pinch hit Friday and is hitting .314 with three homers and 37 RBI.
Minnesota Vikings coach Leslie Frazier has named Christian Ponder the Vikes' starting quarterback, according to a report by Fox Sports North late Thursday. Ponder replaced Donovan McNabb as the VIkes' starting QB last October and went on to complete over 54 percent of his 291 passes for 1,853 yards, 13 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Those numbers were still noteworthy, particularly with the loss of No. 1 running back Adrian Peterson to injuries, as well as back-up wide receiver Michael Jenkins (knee injury) and tight end Visanthe Shiancoe's struggles.
06-22-2012, 10:51 PM #5
Saturday's Streaking & Slumping Starting Pitchers
Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants (8-4, 2.92 ERA)
Bumgarner continues to lead the Giants’ rotation. He allowed just one earned run on three hits over eight innings last weekend but was still stuck with a no-decision in San Francisco’s loss to Seattle. The big lefty has 16 strikeouts in his last two starts and has walked only 19 batters in 95 2/3 innings this season.
Ivan Nova, New York Yankees (9-2, 4.32 ERA)
The Yankees have won each of Nova’s last starts and he’s been absolutely dominant over his last three, allowing just two runs over the last 22 2/3 innings. After shutting out the Braves in Atlanta through seven innings, he followed that up by yielding just a solo homer in 7 2/3 innings at Washington. He owns a 0.84 WHIP in his last three starts.
Kyle Kendrick, Philadelphia Phillies (2-7, 5.29 ERA)
Kendrick has lost each of his last three trips to the hill and owns a 9.00 ERA during the skid. While he managed to go 6 1/3 innings last week against Toronto, he still gave up five earned runs in a 6-2 loss. He has struck out 40 batters compared to 23 walks in 63 innings of work this year.
Josh Outman, Colorado Rockies (0-3, 8.41 ERA)
Outman was the first guy to take the hill under the Rockies’ new four-man rotation, so he’ll go here on just three days’ rest. He has lost three in a row, stinking it up with a 10.22 ERA. He hasn’t pitched into the sixth inning in any of his four starts and will be hard pressed to do so now that the club has issued a 70-pitch limit for its starters.
06-22-2012, 10:59 PM #6
While you were sleeping: Catch up on MLB's Best and Worst Bets
Best Moneyline Bet
Baltimore Orioles (39-30): 16.49 units
The Orioles continue to be the big breadwinners in the majors but have hit some speed bumps along the way, like their current three-game losing streak heading into Friday. Baseball bettors have been waiting for the other cleat to drop on Baltimore, which currently sits second in the American League East.
Worst Moneyline Bet
San Diego Padres (24-46): -17.57 units
Offense – or lack thereof – has plagued the Padres for a long time and 2012 is no exception. San Diego ranks last in the bigs in runs (3.3 per game) and rest in the basement of most hitting statistical categories. A rash of injuries to both the lineup and rotation is just throwing salt on the wound.
Best Runline Bet
Chicago White Sox (42-27 ATS): 20.30 units
The ChiSox are just three games above .500 (36-33) but have kept it close throughout the first half of the season. Chicago has capitalized on the 1.5-run spread – AKA the runline – scoring 4.68 runs and allowing 4.00 runs per game this season. Runline backers can thanks an impressive 19-13 road record for most of those units.
Worst Runline Bet
San Diego Padres (31-39 ATS): -22.98 units
Why the hell are people betting the Padres? Also burinng runline bettors are the Cleveland Indians (-17.51), Detroit Tigers (-13.57), and Colorado Rockies (-12.76).
Best OVER Bet
Philadelphia Phillies (33-38): 44-26-1 over/under
The Phillies pitching staff is not playing up to oddsmakers standards, thanks in part to injuries to key starters like Roy Halladay. On offense, Philadelphia longs for the big bats of Ryan Howard and Chase Utley.
Best UNDER Bet
Los Angeles Angels (38-32) - 25-44-1 over/under
The addition of Albert Pujols was supposed to supercharge the Halos' offense. While that hasn’t quite been the case – averaging just 4.1 runs per game – the pitching staff has done the heavy lifting. The Angels own a 3.43 team ERA, third lowest in the majors.
Top Money Pitcher
R.A. Dickey, New York Mets (11-1, 2.00 ERA): 11.92 units
The knuckleballer is the frontrunner for the National League Cy Young and has been nearly untouchable in recent starts. He hasn’t allowed an earned run in 41 2/3 innings, giving up just 16 hits in that span.
Worst Money Pitcher
Dan Haren, Los Angeles Angels (4-7, 3.97 ERA): -11.87 units
Haren can’t take all the blame for those units lost. The Angels have given the right-hander just 4.38 runs of support during his starts. Haren actually has the 20th best ERA in the AL and is 15th in strikeouts.
Top OVER Umpire
Paul Emmel: 12-1 over/under
Teams are combining for 9.77 runs per game when Emmel is behind home plate.
Top UNDER Umpire
Tim Welke: 3-10 over/under
Teams are combining for 7.2 runs per game when Welke is calling balls and strikes.
06-22-2012, 11:08 PM #7
06-23-2012, 08:59 AM #8
954 Marlins -160 @ 1:10p
955 Cards -145 @ 2:10p
962 Astros Even @ 4:05p
964 Pirates +120 @ 4:05p
967 Yanks -150 @ 7:15p
971 Nationals -105 @ 7:15p
974 Angels -140 @ 7:15p
977 Giants -140 @ 7:15p
979 Mariners -145 @ 10:05p
06-23-2012, 09:00 AM #9
Miami Marlins -155 over Toronto Blue Jays
(System Record: 42-2, lost last game)
Overall Record: 42-37
06-23-2012, 09:01 AM #10
Spain + France UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Euro 2012
(System Record: 247-11, won last 3 games and a push)
Overall Record: 247-216-26
06-23-2012, 09:02 AM #11
Mighty missed with the Yankees Friday.
Saturday it’s the Yankees. The deficit is 500 sirignanos.
06-23-2012, 09:09 AM #12
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
Our Free Plays are 865- 635 (58 %) over the last 4 years PLUS
6 in a row, Saturday: Red Sox -135
06-23-2012, 09:10 AM #13
Fantasy Sports Gametime
100* Play Texas (-240) over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 3:10 PM EST
Colorado has lost 18 of the last 24 day games and they have also lost 10 of the last 11 games when playing on a Saturday. Colorado has lost 11 of the last 12 inter-league games and they have lost 28 of the last 46 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers.
50* Play Arizona (-180) over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Miami (-150) over Toronto (MLB BONUS PLAY)
06-23-2012, 09:10 AM #14
Roy Harvey Oswalt was on target last night against the Rockies, causing Hondo, whose Ray play was rinsed in Philly, to fall 1,420 blefarys below sea level.
Today, Mr. Aitch used his bean and came up with Cecil -- 10 units on the Blue Jays. Also, 10 on Jackson to stonewall the Orioles.
06-23-2012, 09:13 AM #15
Today's MLB Picks
NY Yankees at NY Mets
The Yankees look to build on their 8-2 record in their last 10 games as a road favorite. NY Yankees are the favorite (-145), according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1 1/2.
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145).
Here are all of today's picks.
SATURDAY, JUNE 23
Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Arizona (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Maholm) 15.049; Arizona (Kennedy) 14.475
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+170); Over
Game 953-954: Toronto at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Cecil) 14.636; Miami 15.259
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1/2;
Vegas Line: Miami (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-160); Under
Game 955-956: St. Louis at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.188; Kansas City (Mendoza) 13.966
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); Under
Game 957-958: Colorado at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Outman) 13.912; Texas (Lewis) 16.516
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-250); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-250); Over
Game 959-960: Tampa Bay at Philadelphia (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.215; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 14.135
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under
Game 961-962: Cleveland at Houston (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Gomez) 13.962; Houston (Keuchel) 14.553
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+100); Over
Game 963-964: Detroit at Pittsburgh (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 15.709; Pittsburgh (Lincoln) 14.613
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-135); Under
Game 965-966: Minnesota at Cincinnati (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Duensing) 13.911; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.733
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-200); Over
Game 967-968: NY Yankees at NY Mets (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 17.421; NY Mets (Young) 16.028
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145); Over
Game 969-970: Atlanta at Boston (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Delgado) 15.733; Boston (Morales) 16.237
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 11
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under
Game 971-972: Washington at Baltimore (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Jackson) 16.940; Baltimore (Chen) 15.769
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-105); Under
Game 973-974: LA Dodgers at LA Angels (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Capuano) 15.131; LA Angels (Santana) 16.717
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-140); Over
Game 975-976: Milwaukee at Chicago White Sox (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Wolf) 14.603; White Sox (Axelrod) 16.015
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 977-978: San Francisco at Oakland (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.555; Oakland (Ross) 15.020
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-135); Under
Game 979-980: Seattle at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 14.063; San Diego (Marquis) 14.998
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+125); Over
06-23-2012, 09:14 AM #16
Saturday, June 23
AL teams were 6-7 Friday, they're 126-97 against NL teams in interleague play this season, with two days to go.
Remember there are DHs in games in American League parks, no DHs in National League parks. It doesn't seem to affect totals either way.
-- JJohnson is 1-2, 2.18 in his last three starts.
-- Wainwright is 1-1, 2.75 in his last three starts. Mendoza has a 2.65 RA in his last three outings.
-- Lewis is 2-1, 1.50 in his last three starts.
-- Shields is 1-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
-- Scherzer is 1-0, 1.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Keuchel allowed one run in five IP in his first MLB start.
-- Cueto is 3-0, 1.90 in his last three starts.
-- Nova is 5-0, 2.48 in his last five starts.
-- Delgado has a 2.79 RA in his last three starts, but Atlanta got blanked in his last two outings.
-- WChen is 3-0, 2.21 in his last three starts. Jackson has a 2.74 RA in his last six starts.
-- Capuano is 1-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.
-- Wolf is 0-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Bumgarner is 3-0, 2.73 in his last four starts.
-- Marquis has a 2.79 RA in his three starts for San Diego.
-- Kennedy is 2-6, 5.01 in his last eight starts. Maholm is 0-3, 5.59 in his last seven starts.
-- Cecil allowed two runs in five IP in his first '12 start.
-- Outman is 0-2, 10.22 in his last three starts.
-- Lee is 0-2, 4.87 in his last six starts.
-- Gomez is 1-4, 9.72 in his last five starts.
-- Lincoln is 0-2, 10.03 in his last three starts.
-- Duensing is making first '12 start; he is 25-21, 3.90 with 50 major league starts. He has pitched 34.2 innings this year, in 30 games, but no starts, with a 3.12 ERA.
-- Young is 1-1, 4.08 in three starts this season.
-- Morales allowed two runs in five IP (80 PT) in his first '12 start.
-- Ross is 0-3, 5.91 in his last four starts.
-- ESantana has a 7.06 RA in his last five starts, but pitched a shutout in his last outing.
-- Axelrod allowed two runs in 4.1 IP (99 PT) in his first '12 start.
-- FHernandez is 0-2, 5.63 in his last four starts.
-- Arizona won eight of its last nine home games.
-- Blue Jays won five of their last seven games.
-- Nationals won 14 of their last 20 road games.
-- Tigers won eight of their last twelve games. Pittsburgh won 11 of its last 13 home games.
-- Streaky Mets won last four games, allowing three runs; they're 11-6 in last seventeen home games.
-- Braves won their last three games, allowing nine runs. Red Sox won seven of their last nine games.
-- Indians won their last four games, scoring 23 runs.
-- Rangers won their last seven games, scoring 40 runs.
-- Brewers won five of their last seven games.
-- Royals won seven of their last ten games.
-- A's won eight of their last ten games.
-- Angels won five of their last six games.
-- Cubs lost 17 of their last 21 road games.
-- Baltimore lost three of its last four games, scoring five runs.
-- Phillies lost 11 of their last 15 home games. Tampa Bay lost six of its last nine games.
-- Miami lost 14 of its last 16 games.
-- Twins lost six of their last nine games. Cincinnati lost its last four games, allowing 26 runs.
-- Bronx Bombers lost last three games, after winning previous ten.
-- Houston lost six of its last seven games.
-- Rockies lost 13 of their last 15 games.
-- White Sox lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Mariners lost nine of their last twelve games. San Diego lost five of its last even games.
-- Giants lost four of their last six games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last six games.
-- Five of Cubs' last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven games at Camden Yards went over.
-- Over in 10-4 in Detroit's last fourteen road games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in Tampa Bay's last eleven road games.
-- Last five Toronto road games went over the total.
-- Five of last six games at Citi Field stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last 13 Cincinnati home games went over the total.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in Atlanta's last fourteen road games.
-- Six of last seven Cleveland road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Texas home games.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee road games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 13 St Louis games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Seattle road games went over the total.
-- 12 of Giants' last 16 road games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Chi-Az-- 12 of 13 Emmel games went over the total.
-- Tor-Mia-- Eight of last 11 Nelson games stayed under.
-- StL-KC-- Six of last seven Drake games went over total.
-- Col-Tex-- Six of last eight Wolf games went over the total.
-- TB-Phil-- Don't know who the umpire is; rainout last night.
-- Cle-Hst-- Road team won five of last seven Gonzalez games.
-- Det-Pitt-- Four of last five Cooper games went over total.
-- Min-Cin-- 10 of 14 Bellino games stayed under the total.
-- NY-NY-- Six of last eight McClelland games went over total.
-- Atl-Bos-- Four of last five Eddings games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Balt-- Road team won seven of last ten Hallion games.
-- LA-LA-- Under is 6-2-1 in lat nine Iassogna games.
-- Mil-Chi-- Ten of last thirteen Wegner games stayed under.
-- SF-A's-- Underdogs are 5-5 (+$125) in last ten Randazzo games.
-- Sea-SD-- Underdogs are 5-2 (+$401) in last seven Hickox games.
06-23-2012, 09:16 AM #17
WNBA Basketball Picks
Los Angeles at Phoenix
The Sparks look to take advantage of a Phoenix team that is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games as an underdog. Los Angeles is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 12. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-10).
Here are all of today's picks
SATURDAY, JUNE 23
Game 601-602: Chicago at Minnesota (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 110.879; Minnesota 124.242
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 13 1/2; 143
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 15; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+15); Under
Game 603-604: Los Angeles at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 114.158; Phoenix 102.088
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 12; 167
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 10; 163 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-10); Over
Game 605-606: Indiana at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 116.881; Tulsa 105.277
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 11 1/2; 161
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 8; 157 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-8); Over
06-23-2012, 09:17 AM #18
Miami Marlins -155 over Toronto Blue Jays
06-23-2012, 09:17 AM #19
Free Play Saturday
Texas Runline -1.5 -127
06-23-2012, 09:18 AM #20
In Bases Play Under 9.5 runs bet. Arizona and Chicago
06-23-2012, 09:19 AM #21
Easy Baseball Betting
Our systems say to go for:
Blue Jays (+148)
06-23-2012, 09:21 AM #22
My 15 Dime Money Move selection is on the Rays over the Phillies.
The current line on this game is -120 at the majority of sports books in Vegas and offshore.
Please list Shields and Kendrick at the time of wager.
Today's free pick is the Cardinals over the Royals.
06-23-2012, 09:22 AM #23
Sports Wagers MLB
St. Louis -1½ +120 over KANSAS CITY
The Cardinals brought their league-best .749 road OPS with them last night and won the opener 11-4. A similar result is likely today. Luis Mendoza is coming off back-to-back quality starts in which he one-hit the Brewers and followed that up by beating these same Cardinals after allowing just two runs in six frames. Mendoza was unimpressive in five earlier starts and unimpressive in his career with a 1.68 WHIP, a .304 BAA and a 6.40 ERA. His 28 K/28 BB in 55.2 IP and 5.85 xERA this year almost assures us that he’s not about to come up aces three games in a row against a team that just saw him. An implosion is inevitable and likely to occur here. Adam Wainwright has not yet regained his ace-like surface stats in his return from Tommy John surgery (4.46 ERA, 1.33 WHIP) but his skills have been elite. He’s whiffed 80 batters in 85 frames while walking just 26. He also has an outstanding 53% groundball rate. Wainright has been hurt by a 65% strand rate but has allowed two runs or less in five of his past seven. Not many pitchers in either league have been better than Wainright recently and he faces a Royals lineup that is ranked 28th out of 30 teams in runs scored. Play: St. Louis -1½ +120 (Risking 2 units).
Washington +108 over BALTIMORE
Wei-Yin Chen is 7-2 with a 3.36 ERA and that’s why surface stats and W/L records can be so misleading. Few pitchers have outperformed their skills as much as Chen has. Behind his 3.36 ERA and 1.32 WHIP are some underwhelming skills that include an average strikeout rate, a 39% groundball rate, a high batting average against with men on base, a 21% line-drive rate and an xERA of 4.47. Baltimore is scuffling in June and will face Edwin Jackson. In 13 starts, Jackson has three wins. That’s not just, as he has a skills supported 3.02 ERA. Jackson is durable, reliable and has a solid xERA history. We get the better team, the better pitcher, a price tag and that certainly fits our criteria. Play: Washington +108 (Risking 2 units).
06-23-2012, 09:22 AM #24
06-23-2012, 09:23 AM #25
Fabricio Werdum -500
06-23-2012, 10:07 AM #26
StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets
MLB CLEVELAND at HOUSTON
Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after getting shut out
126-70 since 1997. ( 64.3% 49.5 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 1.0 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets
MLB WASHINGTON at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 24-11 (+13.9 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.1) , OPPONENT (4.0)
06-23-2012, 10:14 AM #27
***TOP PLAY*** 5* 11-0 MLB Run Line Game of the Week (4-0 & 7-2 Runs)!
Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+103)
1 Unit on Detroit Tigers -141
The Tigers get the call as our free play given the advantage they have on the mound with Scherzer. They have won 6 of his last 8 starts overall and 4 of his last 5 on the road. He has allowed 3 earned runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts.
Pittsburgh's Lincoln hasn't been nearly as sharp. He's 0-2 with an ERA of 10.03 over his last 3 starts.
The Tigers went down yesterday but are an impressive 36-16 in their last 52 games following a loss. They are also 68-27 in their last 95 interleague games as a favorite while the Pirates are 39-86 in their last 125 interleague games as an underdog. Look for Detroit to come out on top behind a strong outing from Scherzer.
06-23-2012, 10:15 AM #28
SPORTS WAGERS EURO 2012
Spain/ France Over 2
There is a team chemistry issue with France after their demoralizing loss to Sweden last game. Coach Laurent Blanc made a mistake when he softened his lineup and were lucky to only lose 2-0 to the Swedes. Momentum is a wonderful thing when you have it and now France has to try and get it back against this pre-tournament favorite. As for Spain, their last outing was not all that convincing either, as they were lucky to escape with a late winner to bounce Croatia. Both teams will play better today. France will bolster their roster and Spain is famous for stepping up in big games. As a result, we expect both teams to at least score once allowing us to sit back and free roll on the winning goal. Play: Spain/France over 2 -112 (Risking 2 units to win 1.78).
06-23-2012, 10:15 AM #29
EAGLE EYE SPORTS / WIN-MART
Your Pick: Toronto Blue Jays (+149)
Your Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+128)
06-23-2012, 10:34 AM #30
Insider Sports Report
5* St. Louis (Wainwright) -135 over Kansas City (Mendoza) Range: -120 to -160
3* Tampa Bay (Shields) -110 over Philadelphia (Kendrick) Range: +110 to -130
3* San Francisco (Bumgarner) -125 over Oakland (Ross) Range: -105 to -145
06-23-2012, 10:55 AM #31
Opinion - Philadelphia Phillies ML +122
Opinion - Baltimore Orioles ML -116
06-23-2012, 10:57 AM #32
06-23-2012, 11:04 AM #33
Free Saturday MLB Play
#964 PITTSBURGH PIRATES RUNLINE +1.5 (-135)
06-23-2012, 11:07 AM #34
Jeff Scott Sports
4 UNIT PLAY
Seattle / San Diego Over 6.5
3 UNIT PLAYS
St Louis -135 over KANSAS CITY
ARIZONA -1.5 (+105) over Chicago (NL)
Dodgers/ Angels Over 7.5
2 UNIT PLAYS
TEXAS -1.5 (-125) over Colorado
San Francisco -135 Over OAKLAND
NY Yanks -140 over NY METS
1 UNIT PLAYS
Minnesota/ Cincinnati Over 8.5
BOSTON -136 over Atlanta
Last edited by WINNERS_ONLY; 06-23-2012 at 11:29 AM. Reason: typo
06-23-2012, 11:19 AM #35
MLB: St. Louis Cardinals, San Francisco Giants, Arizona D`backs
**1 UNIT EACH**