Sunday Service Plays PREMIUM & FREE PICKS 6/03/12

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Sunday's Streaking & Slumping Starting Pitchers

"STREAKING"

James McDonald, Pittsburgh Pirates (4-2, 2.20 ERA)

The 27-year-old right-hander has dominated in his last two starts, allowing one earned run over 15 innings. He’s gone at least seven innings in five of his past seven starts, and has a pretty 63:19 strikeout-to-walk ratio this season. Batters are hitting .196 against McDonald. However, his road ERA (3.91) is a lot higher than his home ERA (1.28).

Tommy Milone, Oakland Athletics (6-4, 3.64 ERA)

The 25-year-old lefty has been very effective in his last two starts, allowing three earned runs over 13 2/3 innings. He has a 2.60 ERA over his last four starts. For the season, batters are hitting .237 against him. On April 9 against the Royals, Milone tossed eight shutout innings in a 1-0 win. He allowed three hits and three walks.

"SLUMPING"

Justin Masterson, Cleveland Indians (2-4, 5.14 ERA)

The 27-year-old right-hander is struggling with his command, as evidenced by the 34 walks he's issued in 68 1/3 innings. Masterson has been lit up twice in his last four starts, most recently giving up seven earned runs over six innings to the Royals. He has a WHIP of 1.49, and batters are hitting .265 against him.

Alex White, Colorado Rockies (1-3, 6.28 ERA)

The 23-year-old right-hander has given up 18 earned runs on 30 hits over his last four starts, and batters are raking him for a .310 average. Houston pounded him for three homers last time out. In his May 13 start against the Dodgers, White yielded six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of an 11-5 loss.

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SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL: CARDINALS AT METS
By Steve Merril

St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets (105, 8)

A pair of National League teams hanging around second place in their divisions meet for Sunday Night Baseball as the Mets and Jon Niese host the Cardinals and Jake Westbrook.

New York has won the first two of this four-game series, outscoring St. Louis 13-0. Johan Santana threw the first no-hitter in franchise history on Friday, and R.A. Dickey shut down the Cards again on Saturday.

Jake and the fat ERA

St. Louis' Jake Westbrook is a consistent pitcher. For his career he is 89-88 with a 4.32 ERA. He's 4-4 this season, although he has registered two straight losing decisions. Westbrook has allowed 15 runs in his last three outings against Atlanta, Philadelphia and Los Angeles. He has not been in good form since May 8th when he pitched seven innings of shutout ball against Arizona in a 6-1 victory. Westbrook's last appearance in New York came against the Mets on July 21, 2011, when he allowed two runs and four hits in a 6-2 Cardinals' win.

Niese is Nice

The Mets' starter will be making his second straight start at home after five straight road outings. He has alternated good and bad outings his last four times out, so if this trend holds true, he is due for a good game against the hard-hitting Cardinals tonight. The southpaw took it on the chin last year against the Redbirds, giving up five runs and five hits in six innings of work on July 21, 2011.

What could have been

Both of these teams have been ravaged by injuries this season. New York's Jason Bay has been on the disabled list since May 14th after fracturing his rib. Joining him is Mike Pelfrey, who underwent Tommy John surgery and is done for the season. For the Cardinals, the list is much worse and filled with even bigger talent. Chris Carpenter is dealing with nerve irritation in his right shoulder, while Lance Berkman has a torn meniscus. Jaime Garcia isn't on the disabled list, but he's dealing with soreness in his elbow and is currently considered day-to-day.

Hitters to Watch

Ronny Cedeno -- 4-for-11 vs. Westbrook

Andres Torres -- 3-for-12 vs. Westbrook

Matt Holliday -- 1-for-7 vs. Niese

Trends

*Cardinals are 14-6 in their last 20 Sunday games.
*Cardinals are 15-7 in their last 22 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
*Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
*Mets are 3-9 in Niese's last 12 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

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Sunday Betting Tips

"Reds are Sunday's Best"

Weather to Watch

New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers – A 21-mph wind will be blowing out to left. There’s a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms, with a projected temperature of 74 degrees.

Who’s HOT

NBA: The home team is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 Heat-Celtics games.

MLB: The under is 7-3 in Oakland A’s pitcher Tommy Milone’s last 10 starts.

MLB: The Reds are 17-4 in their last 21 Sunday games.

WNBA: Tulsa is 5-0 ATS in its last five games following an ATS loss.

Who’s NOT

NBA: The over is 7-18-1 in the last 26 Heat-Celtics games in Boston.

MLB: The Angels are 3-10 in Dan Haren’s last 13 starts on grass.

MLB: The Cubs are 1-7 in their last eight games vs. lefty starters.

WNBA: Seattle is 0-4 ATS in its last four meetings with Los Angeles.

Key Stat

19 – After combining for just 7 points in Game 2, the Celtics’ bench contributed 19 points in their Game 3 win. In addition, Marquis Daniels and Keyon Dooling played tremendous defense. Boston was plus-14 with Daniels on the floor, plus-10 with Dooling on the floor. Daniels finished with 9 points and 5 rebounds, and Dooling had 7 points and 4 rebounds. Look for that duo and Mickael Pietrus to get substantial minutes Sunday.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Astros cleanup hitter Carlos Lee remains out with a strained hamstring he suffered Friday. He’s hitting .297 with four homers, eight doubles and 23 RBIs. The first baseman also has drawn 15 walks and has an on-base percentage of .348.

Game of the Day

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics (+1, 180.5)

Notable Quotable

“Everybody knows we’ve been able to bounce back. … We don’t look at the statistics. We don’t look at the records. Records are made to be broken. We’re just going to take it one game at a time, hopefully hold down our home court in Game 4, and see what happens.’’ – Celtics forward Paul Pierce, on whether his team can come back and overtake the Heat.

Notes and Tips

Heat forward Chris Bosh (strained abdomen) went through a light workout Saturday, but media reports indicated he is still not on the verge of returning. Miami hopes to have Bosh back by the NBA finals at the latest, assuming the Heat makes it that far.

The Baltimore Ravens are getting thin on the defensive line. Defensive Player of the Year Terrell Suggs partially tore his Achilles in late April, and now DE Michael McAdoo has ruptured his Achilles. McAdoo underwent surgery Friday. In addition, DT Ryan McBean will open the season with a three-game suspension.

The Phillies placed Jose Contreras on the DL with a strained right elbow and said the 40-year-old reliever's season is likely over. Philadelphia recalled Michael Schwimer from Triple-A Lehigh Valley. Contreras suffered the injury in Friday’s 6-4 win over the Marlins; he entered that contest with six straight scoreless appearances.

Angels ace Jered Weaver (6-1, 2.61 ERA) said his lower back strain is improving and hopes to miss no more than two or three starts. "You don't want to push it too hard, even though the competitor in you wants to," he said. "You have to take it slow, take each bullpen session slow, and just try to work back into it until you get that trust back and go from there."

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Heat at Celtics Game 4: What Bettors Need to Know

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics (+1, 180.5)

THE STORY: The Boston Celtics attempt to even the best-of-7 Eastern Conference finals at 2-2 when they host the Miami Heat on Sunday. Boston ensured it wouldn’t be swept by posting a 101-91 victory on Friday in a contest that it led for the final 37 minutes. LeBron James has been sensational for Miami with three 30-point games in the series but teammate Dwyane Wade has been inconsistent. The Heat expect to again be without forward Chris Bosh.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE: Books opened the Celtics as 1-point home favorites but bettors have moved the spread past a pick'em and currently have Boston as a 1-point home underdog. The total opened at 180.5 points.

ABOUT THE HEAT: Bosh (lower abdominal strain) is making progress but not enough to return to action and is slated to miss his eighth consecutive playoff game. What has become clear during his absence is that the Heat badly miss Bosh as James has often been a one-man act with Wade struggling. “Probably the biggest confidence-builder for our basketball team was the mere fact that the last two years we simply couldn’t win without Chris,” Spoelstra said. “We couldn’t play effectively without Chris. He was our most important player.” Wade is averaging 21 points in the series but his points have come in bunches and he didn’t shoot a single free throw in 41-plus minutes in Game 3.

ABOUT THE CELTICS: Point guard Rajon Rondo evolved back from scoring machine to stellar distributor in Boston’s Game 3 victory. Rondo, who had 44 points in Game 2, contributed 21 points and 10 assists and fueled Kevin Garnett’s strong game (24 points, 11 rebounds) with numerous pinpoint passes in the interior. Coach Doc Rivers repeatedly told Rondo to look for the mismatches. “He kept preaching to just throw it up to him,” Rondo said. “They went small, and no one can jump as high as Kevin. He stood up to the rim and he went up and got most of them.” Rondo is averaging 27 points and nine assists in the series.

TRENDS:

- Home team is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
- Under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in Boston.
- Favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
- Heat are 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings.
- Heat are 1-9 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Boston.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. James is averaging 33.3 points and 10.3 rebounds in the series and has eight 30-point outings in the postseason.

2. Boston forward Paul Pierce is averaging 18.7 points but shooting just 34.5 percent from the field.

3. Miami forward Mike Miller showed life off the bench in Game 3 with 11 points and three 3-pointers for his third double-digit outing of the postseason.

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FRENCH OPEN ODDS

Day 8 match Analysis and Picks
By CHARLES BRICKER

Bricker went 3-0 with his Day 7 plays, putting him at 12-8 in the tournament, down 1.24 units.

No. 5 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (-125) vs. No. 21 Stan Wawrinka (-110)

What a delicious rematch of their third-rounder at last year's French, where Jo was up two sets and a break in the third, and lost, falling 6-2, 6-3 in the last two sets. This is a different test for the Swiss, who won't have to deal with Gilles Simon's largely passive play. Tsonga is going after his shots and there won't be a choke this year.

Pick: Tsonga

No. 7 Tomas Berdych (-105) vs. No. 9 Juan Martin Del Potro (-133)

Another great matchup, and a reprise of Delpo's 7-6, 7-6 win over Berdych on clay at Madrid. The Argentine has had an easier route so far, picking up a retirement in the first round which saved some labor. But I thought Berdych showed staying power in a five-set win over another big server, Kevin Anderson, last round.

Pick: Berdych

No. 24 Sara Errani (+112) vs. No. 28 Svetlana Kuznetsova (-154)

Errani is 19-3 on clay this year and both players registered upsets last round, Errani taking down Ana Ivanovic in the third and Kuzzy with an astonishingly easy win over No. 3 Agnieszka Radwanska. The Russian is 5-0 lifetime in this series, but none of those matches was on clay. Still, Sveta looked too good last round.

Pick: Kuznetsova

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Baseball Crusher

Chicago White Sox -170 over Seattle Mariners

(System Record: 30-1, won last game)
Overall Record: 30-27

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Hockey Crusher

NO Play
(System Record: 110-6, won last game)
Overall Record: 110-95-13

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Basketball Crusher

Boston Celtics +1 over Miami Heat

(System Record: 101-7, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 101-94-5

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Soccer Crusher

Brazil + Mexico OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Friendlies

(System Record: 236-11, won last game)
Overall Record: 236-212-21

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Sam Rothstein Sports Picks

Soccer - International Friendlies
Sunday, June 3, 2012
Canada at USA
Our Pick: USA -110

Today's BONUS Free Pick

From EZ Sports Picks

MLB
Sunday, June 3, 2012
Chicago Cubs (Travis Wood-L) at San Francisco Giants (Barry Zito-L)
Our Pick: San Francisco Giants -140

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Carlos Picks

Our Current Free Pick:
Sunday, June 3, 2012

WNBA
Seattle Storm at Los Angeles Sparks
Our Pick: Los Angeles Sparks -5

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Sportsbook Investing

Chicago White Sox -170 over Seattle Mariners

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JOE WIZ

In Bases Play Under 7 runs bet. San Francisco and Cubs

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NASCAR Fed-Ex 400

Preview and Picks

As the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series leaves its longest race of the season, the 600-miler at Charlotte, the field can look forward to a relatively short 400 miles for the Fed-Ex 400 at Dover International Speedway Sunday.

Those 400 miles, however, come at the track nicknamed the Monster. The one-mile concrete oval has always been one of the toughest on the circuit, providing physical challenges to drivers and mechanical tests for crew chiefs. A few drivers have Dover figured out and some always struggle. It’s feast or famine.

One driver who has Dover figured out is Jimmie Johnson. Johnson won three of the last seven races here and has two Top-5s and a Top-10 finish in the other four. In addition, he has more wins than any other active driver, six overall, and the highest driver rating. He was second in the fall race and will look to add a second win to this season’s total. But ask Johnson why he does well at Dover and even he can’t quite understand it.

“I honestly don’t know,” Johnson told reporters. “It just suits my driving style and I guess you could say my stats show that. You really have to learn how to get through the corners there. If you get it to turn in the center and you get good forward grip off of the corner you will typically turn a good lap. That’s the tough part though, figuring out how to get your car do that. I’m looking forward to seeing what we’ve got for it though.”

Another driver in the “feast” category at Dover is Matt Kenseth. Kenseth has two wins here, including one in this race last year. He finished fifth in the fall and has six Top-5 finishes in the last seven races. He’s also second in the championship standings.

“Dover is my favorite track on the Sprint Cup circuit, and it’s been a place where we’ve had a lot of success at as well, so I just love racing there,” Kenseth said. “The track is so fast and challenging, and it’s unique because of the way you drive up out of the turns. The turns sit a bit lower than the straightaways and you can feel it when you’re driving out there. We’re just going to continue to try and put ourselves up front and into position to be able to be consistent each and every week.”

The Busch brothers have also found success at the Monster Mile. Kurt won the race last fall, while younger brother Kyle has two wins here, the last in 2010. Kyle will get the nod as this week’s spoiler, as Kurt is still trying to find his way with a new team. Kyle on the other hand is coming off a third-place finish at Charlotte last week and has had consistent finishes. He appears ready to score his second win of the season each and every week.

Head-to-Head

Carl Edwards vs. Greg Biffle: The Roush-Fenway teammates are having opposite seasons. Edwards is struggling while Biffle is leading the points. Both have won here before, but there’s a sense that Edwards is ready to stage a turnaround and begin a slow recovery. Look for Edwards to prevail in this matchup.

Martin Truex J. vs. Ryan Newman: Both Truex and Newman have won here and both are having OK seasons. Dover is the site of Truex’s first career win, that coming in 2007, while Newman’s win came in 2004. However, both were with other teams at the time, so it’s a different scenario now. Truex had the pole here in the fall but finished 30th, while Newman finished 23rd. Based on that recent history, look for Newman to repeat and finish ahead of Truex Sunday.

Bottom Line

Starting near the front is important - 51 races at Dover have been won from a Top-5 starting position while 18 races have been won from a starting position outside the Top 10. Thirteen drivers have won from the pole. The last to do so was Jimmie Johnson, in the 2010 September race. The furthest back in the field a race winner started was 37th, by Kyle Petty in 1995.

PICKS

Jimmie Johnson (+600)

Matt Kenseth (+1000)

Kyle Busch (+800)

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Easy Baseball Betting

Our systems say to go for:

Orioles (+129)

Rockies (-118)

Cardinals (-105)

Red Sox (+101)

Twins (+135)

Rangers (+103)

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The Brian Laverty

FRENCH OPEN

Tsonga/Wawrinka Over 41.5 (2 Units)

Berdych +113 (3 Units)

Sloane Stephens +5.5 (2 Units) *****WTA****

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Hoopsgooroo

970 Jays -115 @ 1:05p

954 Phillies -110 @ 1:35p

956 Nationals -140 @ 1:35p

971 Orioles +125 @ 1:40p

977 Twins +127 @ 3:05p

980 Angels -115 @ 3:35p

965 D-Backs -125 @ 6:35p

952 Mets Even @ 8:05p

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DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 682-331 (.673)
ATS: 530-518 (.506)
ATS Vary Units: 1412-1327 (.516)
Over/Under: 516-529 (.494)
Over/Under Vary Units: 988-1067 (.481)

Eastern Conference Finals
Game 4, best-of-7

BOSTON 86, Miami 84

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 853- 629 (58 %) over the last 4 years PLUS

Sunday : Over the total 9 Twins/Cleve

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MLB REPORT

Hot pitchers
-- GGonzalez is 5-0, 2.25 in his last five starts. Hanson is 2-0, 2.00 in his last three road starts.
-- McDonald is 4-1, 1.80 in his last seven starts. Fiers won his first big league start, allowing one run in seven IP.
-- Eovaldi allowed two runs in seven IP in his first '12 start.
-- Stults is 1-1, 3.50 in his three starts this season.

-- Bard is 3-1, 4.15 in his last four starts. Hutchison is 3-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.
-- Sale is 3-0, 0.92 in his last three starts. Millwood is 3-0, 0.67 in his last four starts.
-- Haren won his last two starts, allowing one run in 16 IP. Harrison is 2-0, 1.80 in his last couple starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Zambrano is 1-1, 8.18 in his last couple starts. Blanton is 0-2, 13.17 in his last three starts.
-- Arroyo is 0-2, 5.02 in his last four starts. Houston is 0-4 when Lyles starts (0-1, 7.36).
-- White is 1-3, 6.59 in his five starts for Colorado.
-- Zito has an 8.22 RA in his last three starts. Wood is 0-1, 5.94 in three starts for the Cubs.
-- Cahill is 0-3, 4.85 in his last five starts.
-- Westbrook is 0-2, 8.55 in his last four starts. Niese is 1-1, 7.47 in his last three starts.

-- Verlander is 0-2, 4.50 in his last couple starts. Hughes has a 7.20 RA in his last four road starts.
-- Arrieta is 0-4, 8.33 in his last five starts. Moore is 0-4, 7.09 in his last five outings.
-- Milone is 2-3, 7.48 in five road starts (4-1, 1.23 at home). Former Athletic Mazzaro allowed three runs in five IP in his first '12 start; he is 12-18, 5.12 in 40 career big league starts.
-- Diamond is 1-1, 5.60 in his last three starts. Masterson is 1-2, 5.88 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won six of their last eight games. Phillies won six of their last nine games.
-- Reds won eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- Mets won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Colorado won five of its last six games.
-- Brewers won five of their last six games. Pirates won six of their last eight games.
-- Giants won five of their last six games.

-- Red Sox won six of their last seven road games. Toronto won seven of its last ten at Rogers Centre, but lost last two.
-- Royals won five of their last seven games.
-- Bronx won seven of its last ten games.
-- Minnesota won four of its last five games.
-- White Sox won nine of their last ten games. Seattle won six of their last eight road games.
-- Angels won ten of their last eleven games.

Cold Teams
-- Washington lost three of its last four games. Braves lost six of their last seven road games.
-- Houston lost their last eight games, allowing 67 runs.
-- Cardinals lost eight of their last nine road games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last six games.
-- San Diego lost seven of its last eight games. Arizona is 6-8 in its last fourteen road games.
-- Cubs lost their last nine road games.

-- Oakland lost nine of its last ten games.
-- Detroit lost four of its last six games.
-- Indians lost six of their last eight games.
-- Orioles lost six of their last seven games. Tampa Bay lost five of its last seven games.
-- Rangers lost their last four games, allowing 38 runs.

Totals
-- Under is 15-6-1 in Miami's last 22 road games.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in Atlanta's last seven road games.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve games at Citi Field.
-- Under is 6-3 in Houston's last nine home games.
-- Over is 15-5-1 in last twenty-one games at Coors Field.
-- Seven of last nine McDonald games stayed under total.
-- Under is 11-4 in Arizona's last fifteen road games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Cubs' last seven road games.

-- Bard's last five starts all went over the total.
-- Last three Milone starts stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Detroit home games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Minnesota road games went over. Six of last eight Cleveland games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Baltimore games stayed under total. .
-- Ten of last eleven Chicago home games went over the total.
-- Haren's last eight starts stayed under the total.

Umpires
-- Atl-Wsh--Favorites won seven of last eight Kulpa games.
-- Mia-Phil-- Six of last nine Eddings games went over the total.
-- StL-NY-- Eight of last ten Culbreth games went over.
-- LA-Col-- Home side won six of last seven Marquex games.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Five of last seven Cuzzi games went over total.
-- Chi-SF-- Three of last four Blaser games went over total.
-- Az-SD-- Five of last six Porter games went over the total.
-- Cin-Hst-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Iassogna games.

-- Bos-Tor-- Underdogs won seven of last nine Winters games.
-- A's-KC-- Last six TWelke games stayed under the total.
-- Blt-TB-- Four of last five Guccione games went over total.
-- Sea-Chi-- Underdogs are 4-3 in last seven West games.
-- NY-Det-- Seven of last ten Wendelstedt games stayed under.
-- Min-Cle-- Favorites won four of last five Foster games.
-- Tex-LA-- Six of last eight Runge games stayed under total.

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Today's MLB Picks

NY Yankees at Detroit
The Yankees look to build on their 5-1 record in Justin Verlander's last 6 starts against them. New York is the pick (+170) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1/2 a run.
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+170).

Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JUNE 3

Game 951-952: St. Louis at NY Mets (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 13.883; NY Mets (Niese) 15.858
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+100); Over

Game 953-954: Miami at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Zambrano) 16.847; Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.898
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-110); Under

Game 955-956: Atlanta at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hanson) 15.561; Washington (Gonzalez) 14.567
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+120); Over

Game 957-958: Cincinnati at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 13.830; Houston (Lyles) 14.381
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+110); Under

Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (McDonald) 15.500; Milwaukee (Fiers) 15.905
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-115); Under

Game 961-962: LA Dodgers at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Eovaldi) 16.107; Colorado (White) 15.189
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-125); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+105); Over

Game 963-964: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco (4:55 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 13.785; San Francisco (Zito) 14.681
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Over

Game 965-966: Arizona at San Diego (6:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 14.540; San Diego (Stults) 13.241
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-120); Under

Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Hughes) 16.061; Detroit (Verlander) 15.326
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+170); Over

Game 969-970: Boston at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Bard) 15.411; Toronto (Hutchison) 15.764
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); Under

Game 971-972: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Arrieta) 14.596; Tampa Bay (Moore) 15.787
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-150); Over

Game 973-974: Oakland at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 15.155; Kansas City (Mazzaro) 13.890
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+105); Under

Game 975-976: Seattle at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Millwood) 17.835; White Sox (Sale) 16.149
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+160); Over

Game 977-978: Minnesota at Cleveland (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Diamond) 13.357; Cleveland (Masterson) 15.005
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-145); Under

Game 979-980: Texas at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 15.255; LA Angels (Haren) 16.499
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-115); Under

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Today's NBA Picks

Miami at Boston
The Heat look to bounce back from their Game 3 loss and take advantage of a Boston team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games following a SU win. Miami is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 3.
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-1).

Here are all of today's picks

SUNDAY, JUNE 3

Game 715-716: Miami at Boston (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 128.424; Boston 125.422
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 3; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 1; 179 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-1); Over

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WNBA Basketball Picks

Seattle at Los Angeles
The Sparks look to take advantage of a Seattle team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 road games. Los Angeles is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-6 1/2)

Here are all of today's picks

SUNDAY, JUNE 3

Game 651-652: Washington at Connecticut (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 103.454; Connecticut 117.325
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 14; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut 11 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-11 1/2); Over

Game 653-654: Tulsa at Phoenix (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 100.540; Phoenix 108.402
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 8; 170
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 165 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7); Over

Game 655-656: Indiana at New York (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 117.625; New York 110.086
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 158
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4; 154
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-4); Over

Game 657-658: San Antonio at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 1012.618; Minnesota 122.712
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 10; 151
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 11 1/2; 157
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+11 1/2); Over

Game 659-660: Seattle at Los Angeles (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 109.250; Los Angeles 117.693
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 8 1/2; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 6 1/2; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-6 1/2); Over

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Sports Wagers MLB

PHILADELPHIA +101 over Miami
Just 3½ games separate first and last in the NL East with all five teams above .500. This combination of Miami and Carlos Zambrano is one that is worth fading, as Miami is hitting an abysmal .213 on the road and Zambrano is flashing a nearly identical skill set that resulted in a 4.82 ERA one season ago. The difference for Zambrano has been better luck (30%/69% hit %/strand% in 2011, compared to 24%/78% this year). Zambrano’s velocity is continuing its free-fall. His average fastball velocity is 88.9 mph so far. He'll have value in flashes but once his 24% H% and 78% S% normalize, his ERA will be lucky to stay below 4.00. Joe Blanton shut down Miami on April 12 (7 IP, 1 ER) and a 3.46 xERA paired with his outstanding control (10 BB in 62 IP) makes him one of the higher-upside pitchers in the league right now. Blanton’s 5.05 ERA is sure to come down at some point and while Zambrano’s is sure to rise. The misleading numbers on both these pitchers has the Fish falsely favored here and that’s reason to step in. Play: Philadelphia +101 (Risking 2 units).

CHICAGO -1½ +127 over Seattle
The Mariners ended Chicago’s nine-game winning streak last night but needed 10 runs to do so. With Kevin Millwood on hill, they may need another 10 runs here and chances are they’ll be hard-pressed to score against Chris Sale. As for Millwood, he has great numbers in recent starts but he has benefited greatly from a favorable hit/strand profile and he has terrible matchup numbers against the South Side. Current White Sox hitters have 46 hits in 137 career AB’s versus Millwood for a BA of .346. They also have a .385 on-base %, a sick .555 slugging % and a .940 OPS. Since May 14, a span of nine games at home, the White Sox are averaging 8.4 runs per game. When Millwood faced Chicago at pitcher-friendly Safeco on April 22, he was tagged for five runs in 5.1 innings. In 33 career AB’s against Chris Sale, current Mariners have struck out 14 times. That’s no surprise, as the Seattle lineup strikes out more than any other AL batting order (7.6 times per game). Sale has allowed one earned run or less in five of his past six starts and struck out 15 in his last start. Dating back to 2010, the South Side is 19-4 in their last 23 games against the M’s, with the White Sox outscoring them 125-62. Play: Chicago -1½ +127 (Risking 2 units).

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Mike Hook

Sunday GOLF PLAYS!

TO WIN:

RYO ISHIKAWA: 65-1 (1 UNIT)

SCOTT STALLINGS 150-1 (1 UNIT)

ANDRES ROMERO 180-1 (1 UNIT)

FINAL ROUND HEAD TO HEAD:

RORY SABBATINI -120 Levin (3 UNITS)

SCOTT STALLINGS -125 Summerhays (3 UNITS)

ROBERT ALLENBY -125 Couples (2 UNITS)

BEN CRANE -130 Wi (2 UNITS)

NICOLAS COLSAERTS -125 Chalmers (2 UNITS)

ADAM SCOTT +110 Donald (2 UNITS)

[WINNERS_ONLY]

MLB TOTALS

Lean - Philadelphia Phillies ML -105

Lean - New York Mets ML -101

[WINNERS_ONLY]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA MIAMI at BOSTON

Play On - Favorites (MIAMI) off a road loss by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record
71-35 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.0% 32.5 units )
11-8 this year. ( 57.9% 2.2 units )

NBA MIAMI at BOSTON

Play On - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BOSTON) after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games
60-32 since 1997. ( 65.2% 28.3 units )
3-4 this year. ( 42.9% -1.4 units )

NBA MIAMI at BOSTON

Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games.
110-59 since 1997. ( 65.1% 45.1 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% 1.8 units )

[WINNERS_ONLY]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB ST LOUIS at NY METS

Play On - Home teams (NY METS) starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing, with a well rested bullpen - threw 3 innings or less over last 2 games
173-96 since 1997. ( 64.3% 62.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB PITTSBURGH at MILWAUKEE

MILWAUKEE is 51-17 (+30.8 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: MILWAUKEE (4.8) , OPPONENT (3.6)

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Paul Leiner

100* Rangers -110

50* Over 7.5 White Sox/Mariners

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAY

Milwaukee/ Pittsburgh Under 7.5

3 UNIT PLAYS

Colorado/ LA Dodgers Over 10.5

SAN FRANCISCO -141 over Chicago (Added)

TORONTO -114 over Boston (Added)

Texas -101 over LA ANGELS (Added)

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

St Louis/ NY Mets Over 8.5

Chicago/ Seattle Over 8 (Added)

1 UNIT PLAYS

NY Yanks/ Detroit Under 8

Boston/ Toronto Under 10 (Added)

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Betting Sports Soccer

A WAGER Friendly International USA -0,5 -118

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Mike Mcclain

21-9 run (70 %)

Play Tampa Bay Under 8 -120
Jake Arrieta comes into this match sports a inflated ERA at 5.37. He’s
comes into this match with a 1 MPH velocity increase on his fastball
since last year. He shows a career best K/9, BB/9, swinging strike %,
as well as all of his Sabarmetric ERA’s. His stuff has been fine, the
best it’s ever been. His BABIP and LOB% are both a career worst. That
is what has hindered him from noticing an ERA reduction. Both his
BABIP and LOB% are a good amount above career averages, so with solid
stuff this year, I see no reason why those numbers won’t fall back in
line. Arrieta is well over due for a strong performance. Sundays match
seems like a good spot for it as Tampa Bay has so many injuries and
has struggled badly on offense of late.
Facing Arrieta will be another underachiever in Matt Moore. Moore has
dominating stuff. He has the second highest starting left handed
fastball velocity in baseball. Right now he’s averaging 9.21 K/9. His
walk rate has been an issue at 4.45 BB/9. He’s managed to get the BB/9
average below 4 over the Last 30 days. On top of that his K/9 has
exploded to 11.65 the L30. Moore sabarmetric ERA’s are all well under
4.0, outperforming his real ERA by a substantial amount. Moore is also
the victim of the BABIP and LOB% blues. Like Arrieta, I feel he has
the stuff to do much better in those areas. Baltimore hits Lefties
well, but that’s largely due to having a righty heavy lineup. Moore
got hit hard his first start vs Baltimore, but he dominates right
handed hitters. Over his career lefties are hitting .328 and righties
just .226. He matches up well against Baltimore, bucking the usual
trend of lefties outperforming against lefties and should do much
better job against Baltimore the second time around.
Both teams are in major hitting slumps and suffering from injuries.
Both have Top 5 BP’s. The under is 5-1 for both teams the last 6 and
8-2-1 the last 11 in this series. Tropicana field continues to be and
under haven. I sided with the same play yesterday and for the exact
same reason. This price should be a juiced 7.5 and not a juiced 8.0.

Play On Tampa Bay Under 8 -120
Arrieta vs Moore
Pitchers Must Start

Mike Mcclain ( Added )
Minnesota +1 -113
Over his career, this season included, Justin Masterson has been a guy who has struggled immensely verse left handed batters. Career . 288, 5. 69 K/9, 4. 02 B/9 verse lefties compared to . 217, 8. 52 K/9, 3. 13 BB/9 verse right handed batters. The Twins most certainly will stake the order with left handed batters and they don’t need to reach back very far in the platoon set up to do so. They have a lot of everyday left handed batters. We should see at least 7 of 9 slots either switch hitters or straight up lefties.Masterson has seen a decline in his skill set this year. Most his peripherals appear status quo outside the large jump in BB/9 at 4. 48. But his ERA and Sabarmetric ERA’s all are at career worst’s. Most pitchers can’t lose 1. 8 MPH on the fastball and expect the same results and it doesn’t appear like Masterson is an exception to the rule. Historically Minnesota shows good numbers against Masterson. Certainly strong enough to not take away from green lighting this play. The Indians have had the Twins number the last two years, but even with that being the case in his last 10 starts Masterson and the Twins have yet to beat Minnesota by more then 1 run. Backed by Masterson the Indians have yet to win by 1 run or more in any of his 7 home games thus far.Opposing Masterson will be Scott Diamond. Diamond is not an overwhelming pitcher by any stretch but he is maintaining a solid ERA. His GB% is very strong at 60% and he’s not walking batters with a BB/9 of just 1. 14. A K/9 at 5. 97 is more then respectable with that GB%. His sabarmetric ERA’s are outstanding, with a SIERRA and xFIP both under 3. 0. I certainly don’t expect him to post anywhere near a sub 3. 0 ERA as he has thus far. The question is can he provide a serviceable effort? I think he can, especially as a south paw facing the leagues worst left hand hitting team.Cleveland is in a rut, banged up, struggling at home. The Twins aren’t exactly world beaters but they have been stronger on offense the L7 with a wOBA ranking 13th to Cleveland’s 27th. The Twins also have a small edge out of the BP and the better defense. Having the +1 is a great option here. I see push potential, but forecast the probability of push/win being much more likely then push/loss.

Minnesota +1 -113
Pitchers Must Start
Diamond vs Masterson

[WINNERS_ONLY]

National Sports Service

4* Washington (GONZALEZ) -135 over Atlanta (HANSON)

4* Cleveland (MASTERSON) -140 over Minnesota (DIAMOND)

3* Boston +1 over Miami (NBA)

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Vincent Rizzo Sports

MLB PREMIUM PLAY

Cincinnati Reds -125 (1U)

MLB this week, 3-1,+1.76 Unit's